MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2025 Real GDP Growth |
5.3% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2025 |
5.3% |
2025 Projected Real GDP Growth |
4.0% |
BoG Policy Rate |
28.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
27.02% |
Inflation for May 2025 |
18.4% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2025 |
11.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Dec, 2024 |
3.9% |
2025 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
3.1% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Mar, 2025 |
769.4 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Mar, 2025 |
55.0% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange advanced for the second consecutive week as some financial counters posted better-than-expected gains at the closing of the trading week.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 36.25 points (+0.59%) for the week to close at 6,210.28 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 27.04%. The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) rose by 35.72 points (+1.09%) for the week to close at 3,323.44 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 39.59%.
Market capitalization inched up by 0.40% to close the week at GH¢136,844.81 million, from GH¢136,300.96 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 22.89%.
The week recorded a total of 5,904,756 shares, valued at GH¢27,819,994.95, compared with 3,341,984 shares valued at GH¢21,884,945.51 that were traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated the volume of trades for the week, while GCB dominated the value of trades, accounting for 43.77% and 36.57% of the volume and value of shares traded, respectively.
The market ended the week strong with 8 gainers and 3 decliners as indicated below:
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
SIC |
1.04 |
1.12 |
?7.69% |
GCB |
8.90 |
9.33 |
?4.83% |
ABG |
13.12 |
13.60 |
?3.66% |
SCB |
26.27 |
27.00 |
?2.78% |
SOGEGH |
1.98 |
2.00 |
?1.01% |
GOIL |
1.99 |
2.00 |
?0.50% |
EGL |
2.85 |
2.86 |
?0.35% |
MTNGH |
2.94 |
2.95 |
?0.34% |
GLD |
388.43 |
358.88 |
?7.61% |
CAL |
0.55 |
0.54 |
?1.82% |
TOTAL |
25.02 |
25.00 |
?0.08% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi appreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢10.3001/$, compared with GH¢10.3500/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.48% and 42.72% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 17.77% a year ago.
The Cedi returned to its winning ways against GBP. It traded at GH¢13.8736/£, compared with GH¢14.0766/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 1.46% and 32.63% respectively. This compares with depreciation of 17.14% a year ago.
The Cedi recovered against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢11.8725/€, compared with GH¢11.9673/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.80% and 28.15% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 15.03% a year ago.
The Cedi improved against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢7.6273/C$ and closed at GH¢7.5005/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 1.69% and 36.13% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 14.52% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-24 |
16-06-25 |
20-06-25 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
14.7001 |
10.3500 |
10.3001 |
?0.48 |
?42.72 |
GBP/GHS |
18.4008 |
14.0766 |
13.8736 |
?1.46 |
?32.63 |
EUR/GHS |
15.2141 |
11.9673 |
11.8725 |
?0.80 |
?28.15 |
CAD/GHS |
10.2107 |
7.6273 |
7.5005 |
?1.69 |
?36.13 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢2,952.91 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compares with GH¢7,194.07 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 14.70% p.a. from 14.70% p.a. last week, whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 15.25% p.a. from 15.25% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 15.69% p.a. from 15.74% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-25 |
16-06-25 |
20-06-25 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
28.04 |
14.70 |
14.70 |
?0.03 |
?47.58 |
182 Day TB |
28.68 |
15.25 |
15.25 |
?0.002 |
?46.82 |
364 Day TB |
30.07 |
15.74 |
15.69 |
?0.31 |
?47.81 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,952.91 |
7,194.07 |
?58.95% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
3,370.62 |
7,225.17 |
?53.35% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
4,551 |
7,588 |
?40.02% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
3,847.30 |
7,317.32 |
?47.42% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.74 |
0.95 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
0.88 |
0.99 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.88 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
16-06-25 |
20-06-25 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
40,169.31 |
36,338.04 |
36,278.70 |
?0.16 |
?9.69 |
0.50 oz |
20,486.68 |
18,503.86 |
18,474.95 |
?0.16 |
?9.82 |
0.25 oz |
10,675.23 |
9,607.75 |
9,594.15 |
?0.14 |
?10.13 |
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil rose by $2-5 per barrel, as fears intensified over possible supply constraints from the escalating Israel-Iran conflict. Brent futures traded at US$75.48 a barrel, compared to US$74.23 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 1.68% and 1.13% respectively.
Gold prices slipped lower as the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance strengthened the dollar and pressured bullion. Gold settled at US$3,385.70, from US$3,452.80 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 1.94% and 28.20% respectively.
The price of Cocoa declined for the week. Cocoa traded at US$8,459.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$9,768.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 13.40% and 26.73% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
16-06-25 |
20-06-25 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
74.64 |
74.23 |
75.48 |
?1.68 |
?1.13 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,641.00 |
3,452.80 |
3,385.70 |
?1.94 |
?28.20 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
11,545.00 |
9,768.00 |
8,459.00 |
?13.40 |
?26.73 |
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Qualified Institutional Placement: It is a way for listed companies to raise capital without having to submit legal paperwork to market regulators. It is common in India and other Southeast Asian countries. QIPs were created to avoid dependency on foreign resources for raising capital. Qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) are the only entities allowed to purchase QIPs
Source:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/tax_wedge.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 54 836 7639
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.