MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4, 2024 Real GDP Growth |
3.6% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2024 |
5.7% |
2025 Projected Real GDP Growth |
4.0% |
BoG Policy Rate |
28.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
27.02% |
Inflation for March, 2025 |
22.4% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2025 |
11.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Dec, 2024 |
3.9% |
2025 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
3.1% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Dec, 2024 |
726.7 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Dec, 2024 |
61.8% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange settled higher on the back of price gains by three (3) counters.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) rose by 152.60 points (+2.52%) for the week to close at 6,214.34 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 27.12%.
The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) also gained 34.69 points (+1.12%) for the week to close at 3,129.19 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 31.43%.
Market capitalization inched up by 1.74% to close the week at GH¢135,766.84 million, from GH¢135,416.78 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 23.72%.
The week recorded a total of 2,740,190 shares valued at GH¢31,156,179.73, compared with 13,903,553 shares, valued at GH¢50,960,261.58 traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated the volume of trades for the week while New Gold Exchange Traded Fund dominated the value of trades for the week accounting for 67.93% and 51.24% of the volume and value of shares traded respectively.
The market ended its weekly run with 3 advancers and 3 laggards, as indicated in the table below:
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
SOGEGH |
1.60 |
1.76 |
?10.00% |
MTNGH |
3.00 |
3.12 |
?4.00% |
ETI |
0.87 |
0.90 |
?3.45% |
CAL |
0.68 |
0.65 |
?4.41% |
GLD |
460.00 |
441.08 |
?4.11% |
TOTAL |
24.52 |
24.51 |
?0.04% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi extended its appreciation streak against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢13.9001/$, compared with GH¢14.5500/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 4.68% and 5.76% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 11.45% a year ago.
The Cedi also appreciated against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢18.4648/£, compared with GH¢19.3901/£ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciations of 5.01% and 0.35% respectively. This compares with depreciation of 10.13% a year ago.
The Cedi further improved against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢15.7449/€, compared with GH¢16.5543/€ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 5.14% and 3.37% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 9.18% a year ago.
The Cedi again appreciated against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢10.4990/C$ and closed at GH¢10.0780/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 4.18% and 1.32% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 8.08% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-24 |
28-04-25 |
02-05-25 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
14.7001 |
14.5500 |
13.9001 |
?4.68 |
?5.76 |
GBP/GHS |
18.4008 |
19.3901 |
18.4648 |
?5.01 |
?0.35 |
EUR/GHS |
15.2141 |
16.5543 |
15.7449 |
?5.14 |
?3.37 |
CAD/GHS |
10.2107 |
10.4990 |
10.0780 |
?4.18 |
?1.32 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢4,729.55 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢6,695.08 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 15.23% p.a. from 14.76% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 15.78% p.a. from 14.85% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 16.96% p.a. from 15.52% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-25 |
28-04-25 |
02-05-25 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
28.04 |
14.76 |
15.23 |
?3.24 |
?45.67 |
182 Day TB |
28.68 |
14.85 |
15.78 |
?6.27 |
?44.99 |
364 Day TB |
30.07 |
15.52 |
16.96 |
?9.28 |
?43.60 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
4,729.55 |
6,695.08 |
?29.36% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
5,292.93 |
7,265.72 |
?27.15% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
6,323 |
6,145 |
?2.90% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
6,089.31 |
5,685.44 |
?7.10% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.84 |
1.18 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
0.87 |
1.28 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.89 |
0.92 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
28-04-25 |
02-05-25 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
40,169.31 |
51,145.71 |
47,286.35 |
?7.55 |
?17.72 |
0.50 oz |
20,486.68 |
25,977.60 |
24,036.96 |
?7.47 |
?17.33 |
0.25 oz |
10,675.23 |
13,423.78 |
12,441.05 |
?7.32 |
?16.54 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices fell by more than $4 a barrel after OPEC+ decided to accelerate its output hikes, causing concerns about more supply coming to the market. Brent futures traded at US$61.29 a barrel, compared to US$66.87 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 8.34% and 17.89% respectively.
Gold prices extended sharp declines for the third consecutive session, as bullion’s safe-haven appeal eroded amid hopes of trade deal talks between the U.S. and its key trading partners. Gold settled at US$3,243.30, from US$3,298.40 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 1.67% and 22.81% respectively.
The price of Cocoa slid for the week. Cocoa traded at US$8,877.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$9,392.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 5.48% and 23.11% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
28-04-25 |
02-05-25 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
74.64 |
66.87 |
61.29 |
?8.34 |
?17.89 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,641.00 |
3,298.40 |
3,243.30 |
?1.67 |
?22.81 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
11,545.00 |
9,392.00 |
8,877.00 |
?5.48 |
?23.11 |
Source: www.investing.com.
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Quarterly Income Debt Securities (QUIDS): It is a tradable debt instruments that pay a quarterly coupon. QUIDS are sold in small denominations, but have a long lifespan before maturing. Companies typically issue QUIDS through a subsidiary, which allows QUIDS holders to move ahead of other creditors and shareholders in the event of bankruptcy.
Source:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quids.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 54 836 7639
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.