MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4, 2024 Real GDP Growth |
3.6% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2024 |
5.7% |
2025 Projected Real GDP Growth |
4.0% |
BoG Policy Rate |
28.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
27.02% |
Inflation for April, 2025 |
21.2% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2025 |
11.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Dec, 2024 |
3.9% |
2025 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
3.1% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Mar, 2025 |
769.4 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Mar, 2025 |
55.0% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed the week lower on the back of pric declines by three (3) counters.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 354.10 points (-5.28%) for the week to close at 6,353.54 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 29.97%. The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) however grew by 6.78 points (+0.21%) for the week to close at 3,175.26 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 33.37%.
Market capitalization slid by 3.07% to close the week at GH¢139,299.17 million, from GH¢143,712.41 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 25.09%.
The week recorded a total of 2,318,985 shares valued at GH¢17,816,045.84, compared with 23,758,579 shares, valued at GH¢102,566,434.15 traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated the volume of trades for the week while New Gold Exchange Traded Fund dominated the value of trades for the week accounting for 82.10% and 61.29% of the volume and value of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 6 advancers and 3 laggards, as indicated in the table below:
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
SIC |
0.77 |
0.84 |
?9.09% |
EGL |
2.70 |
2.85 |
?5.56% |
BOPP |
29.75 |
31.00 |
?4.20% |
SOGEGH |
1.76 |
1.80 |
?2.27% |
EGH |
7.50 |
7.61 |
?1.47% |
TOTAL |
24.90 |
24.92 |
?0.08% |
MTNGH |
3.54 |
3.20 |
?9.60% |
CAL |
0.64 |
0.60 |
?6.25% |
GLD |
380.03 |
373.62 |
?1.69% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi extended its month-long winning run against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢12.3200/$, compared with GH¢10.9500/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 12.51% and 34.25% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 14.87% a year ago.
The Cedi also extended its month-long gains against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢16.3296/£, compared with GH¢14.7787/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 10.49% and 24.51% respectively. This compares with depreciation of 14.89% a year ago.
The Cedi continued to strengthen against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.4113/€, compared with GH¢13.7223/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 10.56% and 22.58% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 13.32% a year ago.
The Cedi again appreciated against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢8.8045/C$ and closed at GH¢7.9586/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 10.63% and 28.30% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 11.76% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-24 |
19-05-25 |
23-05-25 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
14.7001 |
12.3200 |
10.9500 |
?12.51 |
?34.25 |
GBP/GHS |
18.4008 |
16.3296 |
14.7787 |
?10.49 |
?24.51 |
EUR/GHS |
15.2141 |
13.7223 |
12.4113 |
?10.56 |
?22.58 |
CAD/GHS |
10.2107 |
8.8045 |
7.9586 |
?10.63 |
?28.30 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢5,972.37 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,762.35 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 14.93% p.a. from 15.11% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 15.68% p.a. from 15.55% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 16.00% p.a. from 16.79% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-25 |
19-05-25 |
23-05-25 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
28.04 |
15.11 |
14.93 |
?1.19 |
?46.75 |
182 Day TB |
28.68 |
15.68 |
15.55 |
?0.83 |
?45.78 |
364 Day TB |
30.07 |
16.79 |
16.00 |
?4.68 |
?46.79 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
5,972.37 |
2,762.35 |
?116.21% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
6,538.91 |
5,353.15 |
?22.15% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
5,549 |
6,684 |
?16.98% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
5,346.48 |
6,432.47 |
?16.88% |
Target coverage ratio |
1.18 |
0.80 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.22 |
0.83 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.91 |
0.52 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
19-05-25 |
23-05-25 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
40,169.31 |
41,348.49 |
39,830.77 |
?3.67 |
?0.84 |
0.50 oz |
20,486.68 |
21,041.96 |
20,271.01 |
?3.66 |
?1.05 |
0.25 oz |
10,675.23 |
10,914.02 |
10,514.85 |
?3.66 |
?1.50 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices traded marginally lower, as investors mostly stayed on the sidelines ahead of a closely watched OPEC+ meeting that could provide key signals on future supply levels. Brent futures traded at US$64.78 a barrel, compared to US$65.41 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.96% and 13.21% respectively.
Gold prices rose as safe-haven demand was elevated by a sell-off in U.S. Treasuries amid heightened concerns over high government debt. Gold settled at US$3,365.80, from US$3,187.20 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 5.60% and 27.44% respectively.
The price of Cocoa decreased for the week. Cocoa traded at US$9,764.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$10,898.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 10.41% and 15.43% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
19-05-25 |
23-05-25 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
74.64 |
65.41 |
64.78 |
?0.96 |
?13.21 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,641.00 |
3,187.20 |
3,365.80 |
?5.60 |
?27.44 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
11,545.00 |
10,898.00 |
9,764.00 |
?10.41 |
?15.43 |
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Currency Peg: It is a policy in which a national government or central bank sets a fixed exchange rate for its currency with a foreign currency or a basket of currencies and stabilizes the exchange rate between countries. The currency exchange rate is the value of one currency compared to another.
Source:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/currency-peg.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 54 836 7639
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.