MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q3, 2024 Real GDP Growth |
7.2% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2024 |
6.3% |
2024 Projected Real GDP Growth |
3.1% |
BoG Policy Rate |
27.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
27.09% |
Inflation for January, 2025 |
23.5% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2024 |
15.0% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Jun, 2024 |
3.4% |
2024 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
3.0% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Nov, 2024 |
736.9 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Nov, 2024 |
72.2% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange continued its strong run on the back of price increases by 9 counters.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) grew by 105.97 points (+2.02%) for the week to close at 5,351.34 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 9.47%. The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) also gained 70.02 points (+2.80%) for the week to close at 2,567.22 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) appreciation of 7.83%.
Market capitalization edged up by 1.55% to close the week at GH¢119,884.61 million, from GH¢118,049.65 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 7.66%.
The week recorded a total of 1,485,784 shares valued at GH¢10,654,247.81, compared with 2,297,665 shares, valued at GH¢18,808,488.11 traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated the volume of trades for the week while New Gold Exchange Traded Fund dominated the value of trades for the week accounting for 50.11% and 74.61% of the volume and value of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 9 advancers, as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
SCB |
23.00 |
25.01 |
?8.74% |
ABG |
5.72 |
6.20 |
?8.39% |
SIC |
0.27 |
0.29 |
?7.41% |
CAL |
0.41 |
0.44 |
?7.32% |
ETI |
0.44 |
0.47 |
?6.82% |
BOPP |
25.26 |
26.25 |
?3.92% |
GLD |
427.84 |
435.72 |
?1.84% |
MTNGH |
2.75 |
2.80 |
?1.82% |
GCB |
6.43 |
6.44 |
?0.16% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi closed lower against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢15.5001/$, compared with GH¢15.4850/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.10% and 5.16% respectively. This compares with a loss of 2.67% a year ago.
The Cedi depreciated slightly against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢19.5479/£, compared with GH¢19.2177/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.69% and 5.87% respectively. This compares with depreciation of 1.54% a year ago.
The Cedi also fell against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢16.2817/€, compared with GH¢16.0288/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 1.55% and 6.56% respectively. This compares with a gain of 0.18% a year ago.
The Cedi retreated against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢10.8199/C$ and closed at GH¢10.9405/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.10% and 6.67% respectively. This compares with an appreciation of 0.52% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-24 |
10-02-25 |
14-02-25 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
14.7001 |
15.4850 |
15.5001 |
?0.10 |
?5.16 |
GBP/GHS |
18.4008 |
19.2177 |
19.5479 |
?1.69 |
?5.87 |
EUR/GHS |
15.2141 |
16.0288 |
16.2817 |
?1.55 |
?6.56 |
CAD/GHS |
10.2107 |
10.8199 |
10.9405 |
?1.10 |
?6.67 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢9,434.23 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢7,650.73 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 26.86% p.a. from 27.98% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 27.81% p.a. from 28.69% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 29.07% p.a. from 30.37% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-25 |
10-02-25 |
14-02-25 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
28.04 |
27.98 |
26.86 |
?4.02 |
?4.20 |
182 Day TB |
28.68 |
28.69 |
27.81 |
?3.07 |
?3.06 |
364 Day TB |
30.07 |
30.37 |
29.07 |
?4.27 |
?3.31 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
9,434.23 |
7,650.73 |
?23.31% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
17,699.41 |
10,559.04 |
?67.62% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
8,068 |
7,258 |
?11.16% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
6,636.82 |
8,362.49 |
?20.64% |
Target coverage ratio |
2.19 |
1.45 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
2.67 |
1.26 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.53 |
0.72 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
10-02-25 |
14-02-25 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
40,169.31 |
45,624.64 |
46,912.83 |
?2.82 |
?16.79 |
0.50 oz |
20,486.68 |
23,225.19 |
23,869.86 |
?2.78 |
?16.51 |
0.25 oz |
10,675.23 |
12,056.77 |
12,379.74 |
?2.68 |
?15.97 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices inched higher as concerns over Russian and Iranian oil supplies, driven by sanctions and escalating Middle East tensions, overshadowed fears that trade tariffs could fuel inflation and slow global economic growth. Brent futures traded at US$74.74 a barrel, compared to US$74.66 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.11% and 0.13% respectively.
Gold prices firmed slightly as safe haven demand for the yellow metal remained underpinned by uncertainty over U.S. trade tariffs and interest rates. Gold settled at US$2,900.70, from US$2,887.60 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 0.45% and 9.83% respectively.
The price of Cocoa climbed for the week. Cocoa traded at US$10,325.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$10,113.00 last week, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 2.10% and 10.57% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
10-02-25 |
14-02-25 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
74.64 |
74.66 |
74.74 |
?0.11 |
?0.13 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,641.00 |
2,887.60 |
2,900.70 |
?0.45 |
?9.83 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
11,545.00 |
10,113.00 |
10,325.00 |
?2.10 |
?10.57 |
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Investment Grade: It is a rating that signifies a municipal or corporate bond presents a relatively low risk of default. Bond rating firms like Standard & Poor’s (S&P), Moody's, and Fitch use different designations, consisting of the upper- and lower-case letters "A" and "B," to identify a bond's credit quality rating.
Source:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/investmentgrade.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.