MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2023 Real GDP Growth |
4.2% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2023 |
4.2% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
1.5% |
BoG Policy Rate |
30.00% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
26.36% |
Inflation for June, 2023 |
42.5% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
31.3% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – June, 2023 |
0.8% |
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.7% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jun, 2023 |
575.5 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jun, 2023 |
71.8% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week on the back of price increases by 3 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 157.73 points (+5.31%) to close the week at 3,127.43 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 27.97%.
The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also gained 8.61 points (+0.50%) to close the week at 1,715.17 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 16.02%.
Market capitalization increased by 2.38% to close the week at GH¢73,713.69 million, from GH¢71,998.81 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 14.27%.
The week recorded a total of 5,832,677 shares valued at GH¢9,145,160.18 changing hands, compared with 4,897,980 shares, valued at GH¢8,419,861.25 in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both the volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 95.24% and 94.15% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 3 advancers as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
GGBL |
2.55 |
2.80 |
?9.80% |
SOGEGH |
0.73 |
0.80 |
?9.59% |
MTNGH |
1.43 |
1.55 |
?8.39% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi appreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.0017/$, compared with GH¢11.0036/$ at week open, reflecting w/w appreciation and YTD depreciation of 0.02% and 22.05% respectively. This compares with a loss of 24.92% a year ago.
The Cedi also strengthened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.9904/£, compared with GH¢14.1485/£ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 1.13% and 26.29% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 15.64% a year ago.
The Cedi again strengthened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.0461/€, compared with GH¢12.1274/€ at week open, reflecting w/w appreciation and YTD depreciation of 0.68% and 24.08% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 15.95% a year ago.
The Cedi further appreciated against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.3119/C$ but closed at GH¢8.2476/C$, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.78% and 23.34% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 23.29% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
31-07-23 |
03-08-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
11.0036 |
11.0017 |
?0.02 |
?22.05 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
14.1485 |
13.9904 |
?1.13 |
?26.29 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
12.1274 |
12.0461 |
?0.68 |
?24.08 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.3119 |
8.2476 |
?0.78 |
?23.34 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢2,178.24 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,334.77 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 25.57% p.a. from 25.24% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 27.28% p.a. from 27.15% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 30.49% p.a. from 30.31% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-23 |
31-07-23 |
03-08-23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
25.24 |
25.57 |
?1.31 |
?27.69 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
27.15 |
27.28 |
?0.50 |
?24.17 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
30.31 |
30.49 |
?0.61 |
?15.05 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
Current |
Previous |
Change |
|
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,178.74 |
2,334.77 |
?6.68% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
2,179.14 |
2,342.06 |
?6.96% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
2,261 |
2,282 |
?0.92% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
2,126.16 |
3,105.18 |
?31.53% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.96 |
1.03 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.02 |
0.75 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices rose more than a dollar a barrel last week, after top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia extended supply cuts through September, adding to undersupply concerns. Brent futures traded at US$86.24 a barrel, compared to US$84.99 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 1.47% and 0.38% respectively.
Gold prices tallied steep losses for the week as signs of a resilient U.S. economy and job market pushed up fears of rising interest rates. Gold settled at US$1,976.10, from US$1,999.90 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 1.19% and 8.21% respectively.
The price of Cocoa decreased for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,510.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,525.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 0.43% and 35.00% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-23 |
31-07-23 |
04-08-23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
84.99 |
86.24 |
?1.47 |
?0.38 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,999.90 |
1,976.10 |
?1.19 |
?8.21 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,525.00 |
3,510.00 |
?0.43 |
?35.00 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Hurdle Rate: A hurdle rate is the minimum rate of return on a project or investment required by a manager or investor. It allows companies to make important decisions on whether or not to pursue a specific project. The hurdle rate describes the appropriate compensation for the level of risk present—riskier projects generally have higher hurdle rates than those with less risk.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hurdlerate.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestments.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.