MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q2, 2024 Real GDP Growth |
6.9% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2024 |
5.9% |
2024 Projected Real GDP Growth |
3.1% |
BoG Policy Rate |
27.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
27.01% |
Inflation for November, 2024 |
23.0% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2024 |
15.0% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Jun, 2024 |
3.4% |
2024 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
3.0% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Oct, 2024 |
761.0 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Oct, 2024 |
74.6% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange prolonged its growing pace on the back of price increases by 2 counters.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) grew by 44.12 points (+0.94%) for the week to close at 4,738.49 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 51.38%. The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) also gained 17.01 points (+0.72%) for the week to close at 2,368.17 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 24.54%.
Market capitalization edged up by 0.78% to close the week at GH¢109,219.13 million, from GH¢108,368.85 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 47.81%.
The week recorded a total of 16,513,095 shares valued at GH¢7,832,771.00, compared with 774,647 shares, valued at GH¢1,787,029.76 traded in the preceding week.
CAL dominated both the volume and the value of trades for the week accounting for 90.50% and 64.87% of the volume and value of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 2 advancers and 2 decliners, as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
ETI |
0.29 |
0.31 |
?6.90% |
MTNGH |
2.37 |
2.40 |
?1.27% |
GLD |
397.45 |
388.59 |
?2.23% |
ALLGH |
6.14 |
6.13 |
?0.16% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi extended its strong run against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢14.8700/$, compared with GH¢15.2700/$ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 2.69% and 20.11% respectively. This compares with a loss of 26.26% a year ago.
The Cedi edged higher against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢18.9645/£, compared with GH¢19.3952/£ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 2.27% and 20.20% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 29.33% a year ago.
The Cedi improved against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢15.7179/€, compared with GH¢16.1291/€ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 2.62% and 16.49% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 27.00% a year ago.
The Cedi appreciated against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢10.8928/C$ and closed at GH¢10.5976/C$, reflecting w/w appreciation and YTD loss of 2.79% and 14.97% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 26.25% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-24 |
02-12-24 |
05-12-24 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
11.8800 |
15.2700 |
14.8700 |
?2.69 |
?20.11 |
GBP/GHS |
15.1334 |
19.3952 |
18.9645 |
?2.27 |
?20.20 |
EUR/GHS |
13.1264 |
16.1291 |
15.7179 |
?2.62 |
?16.49 |
CAD/GHS |
9.0112 |
10.8928 |
10.5976 |
?2.79 |
?14.97 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢5,199.67 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢3,835.93 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 27.60% p.a. from 27.36% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 28.32% p.a. from 28.10% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 29.91% p.a. from 29.88% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-24 |
02-12-24 |
09-12-24 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
29.24 |
27.36 |
27.60 |
?0.88 |
?5.61 |
182 Day TB |
31.88 |
28.10 |
28.32 |
?0.78 |
?11.19 |
364 Day TB |
32.49 |
29.88 |
29.91 |
?0.09 |
?7.94 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
5,199.67 |
3,835.93 |
?35.55% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
5,199.67 |
3,835.93 |
?35.55% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
6,491 |
6,098 |
?6.44% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
6,075.02 |
4,994.86 |
?21.63% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.80 |
0.63 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
0.86 |
0.77 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
25-11-24 |
02-12-24 |
05-12-24 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
44,403.68 |
42,620.57 |
41,305.11 |
?3.09 |
?6.98 |
0.50 oz |
22,607.09 |
21,723.35 |
21,057.68 |
?3.06 |
?6.85 |
0.25 oz |
11,740.88 |
11,306.06 |
10,964.24 |
?3.02 |
?6.61 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices settled higher as China, the world's largest crude importer, unveiled plans to ease monetary policy and its boost economy, stoking hopes of a revival in global oil demand. Brent futures traded at US$71.12 a barrel, compared to US$72.94 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 2.50% and 7.68% respectively.
Gold prices rose as heightened geopolitical tensions in Syria and a selloff on Wall Street fuelled safe haven demand for the yellow metal. Gold settled at US$2,659.60, from US$2,681.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD gain of 0.80 and 28.37% respectively.
The price of Cocoa increased for the week. Cocoa traded at US$9,853.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$9,425.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 4.54% and 134.82% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-24 |
02-12-24 |
06-12-24 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
77.04 |
72.94 |
71.12 |
?2.50 |
?7.68 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,071.80 |
2,681.00 |
2,659.60 |
?0.80 |
?28.37 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
4,196.00 |
9,425.00 |
9,853.00 |
?4.54 |
?134.82 |
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Fiscal Quarter: It is a three-month period in a company's financial year used for reporting earnings and paying dividends. It's often labeled as Q1 for the first quarter, Q2 for the second, and so on.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quarter.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.