MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2023 Real GDP Growth |
4.2% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2022 |
3.6% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
2.8% |
BoG Policy Rate |
29.50% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
26.12% |
Inflation for May, 2023 |
42.2% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
18.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Mar, 2023 |
0.8% |
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.7% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Dec, 2022 |
434.6 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Dec, 2022 |
71.2% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week on the back of price increases by 5 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 90.05 points (+3.40%) to close the week at 2,736.34 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 11.97%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also gained 3.44 points (+0.20%) to close the week at 1,694.47 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 17.45%.
Market capitalization increased by 1.40% to close the week at GH¢68,267.81 million, from GH¢67,327.45 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 5.83%.
The week recorded a total of 1,900,358 shares valued at GH¢8,320,821.93 changing hands, compared with 1,272,253 shares, valued at GH¢4,230,312.69 in the preceding week.
GGBL dominated the volume of trades for the week, while New Gold dominated the value of trades for the week, accounting for 76.34% and 57.09% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 5 advancers and 1 decliner as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
GGBL |
1.93 |
2.12 |
?9.84% |
CAL |
0.56 |
0.60 |
?7.14% |
MTNGH |
1.19 |
1.26 |
?5.88% |
FML |
1.31 |
1.32 |
?0.76% |
GLD |
221.00 |
221.20 |
?0.09% |
ABG |
4.00 |
3.97 |
?0.75% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi appreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢10.9882/$, compared with GH¢10.9898/$ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.01% and 21.95% respectively. This compares with a loss of 16.76% a year ago.
The Cedi also strengthened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.9677/£, compared with GH¢14.0840/£ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.83% and 26.17% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 8.36% a year ago.
The Cedi again strengthened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢11.9653/€, compared with GH¢12.0074/€ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.35% and 23.56% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 10.35% a year ago.
The Cedi further strengthened against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.3268/C$ but closed at GH¢8.3240/C$, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.03% and 24.05% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 15.20% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
19-06-23 |
23-06-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
10.9898 |
10.9882 |
? 0.01 |
?21.95 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
14.0840 |
13.9677 |
?0.83 |
?26.17 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
12.0074 |
11.9653 |
?0.35 |
?23.56 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.3268 |
8.3240 |
?0.03 |
?24.05 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢2,278.18 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢3,015.74 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 22.97% p.a. from 21.69% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 25.44% p.a. from 24.97% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 29.25% p.a. from 28.91% p.a. last week
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-23 |
19-06-23 |
23-06-23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
21.69 |
22.97 |
?5.89 |
?35.04 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
24.97 |
25.44 |
?1.87 |
?29.29 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
28.91 |
29.25 |
?1.18 |
?18.50 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
Current |
Previous |
Change |
|
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,278.18 |
3,015.74 |
?24.46% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
2,299.32 |
3,018.96 |
?23.84% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
2,202 |
3,790 |
?41.90% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
2,087.98 |
3,598.22 |
?41.97% |
Target coverage ratio |
1.04 |
0.80 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.10 |
0.84 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.99 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices retreated after a series of rate hikes by the US Central Bank, and the indication of more to come, added to concerns over global economic growth. Brent futures traded at US$73.85 a barrel, compared to US$76.14 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 3.01% and 14.04% respectively.
Gold prices closed lower last week as uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision kept traders wary of the yellow metal. Gold settled at US$1,929.60, from US$1,971.20 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 2.11% and 5.66% respectively.
The price of Cocoa declined for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,123.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,188.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 2.04% and 20.12% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
01-01-23 |
19-06-23 |
23-06-23 |
|||
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
76.14 |
73.85 |
?3.01 |
?14.04 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,971.20 |
1,929.60 |
?2.11 |
?5.66 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,188.00 |
3,123.00 |
?2.04 |
?20.12 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Mark-to-market losses: Mark-to-market losses are losses generated through an accounting entry rather than the actual sale of a security. Mark-to-market losses can occur when financial instruments held are valued at the current market value. If a security was purchased at a certain price and the market price later fell, the holder would have an unrealized loss, and marking the security down to the new market price would result in the mark-to-market loss. Mark-to-market accounting is part of the concept of fair value accounting, which attempts to give investors more transparent and relevant information.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/mark-to-market-losses.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email:etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email:moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email:jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestmens.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.