MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q3, 2022 GDP Growth |
2.9% |
Average GDP Growth for 2022 |
3.5% |
2022 Projected GDP Growth |
3.7% |
BoG Policy Rate |
28.00% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
25.87% |
Inflation for Jan, 2023 |
53.6% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2022 |
28.5% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Nov, 2022 |
9.8% |
2022 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
6.6% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Nov, 2022 |
575.7 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Nov, 2022 |
93.5% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of price drops by 6 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 38.55 points (-1.59%) to close the week at 2,386.82 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) loss of 2.34%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also lost 97.56 points (-4.92%) for the week closing at 1,885.95 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 8.12%.
Market capitalization decreased by 0.64% to close the week at GH¢64,024.52 million, from GH¢64,436.21 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD decline of 0.11%.
The week witnessed a total of 441,791 shares valued at GH¢14,337,999.62 changing hands, compared with 2,342,002 shares, valued at GH¢4,540,534.90 in the preceding week.
MTN dominated the volume of trades for the week whiles New Gold dominated the value of trades for the week , accounting for 56.45% and 96.98% of shares traded respectively. The market ended the week with 3 advancers and 6 decliners as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
UNIL |
2.48 |
2.99 |
?20.56% |
TOTAL |
4.57 |
5.00 |
?9.41% |
MTNGH |
0.92 |
0.93 |
?1.09% |
EGH |
6.64 |
5.40 |
?18.67% |
FML |
2.07 |
1.80 |
?13.04% |
EGL |
3.20 |
3.00 |
?6.25% |
SCB |
19.95 |
19.00 |
?4.76% |
GOIL |
1.68 |
1.65 |
?1.79% |
GLD |
232.2 |
229 |
?1.38% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.0138/$, compared with GH¢11.0132/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.005% and 22.13% respectively. This compares with YTD loss of 14.22% a year ago.
The Cedi also retreated against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.1912/£, compared with GH¢13.1718/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.15% and 21.83% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 12.16% a year ago.
The Cedi again weakened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢11.6757/€, compared with GH¢11.6256/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.43% and 21.67% respectively. This compares with YTD loss of 10.63% a year ago.
The Cedi further weakened against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢8.0720/C$ but closed at GH¢8.0151/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.15% and 21.79% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 13.46% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
27-02-23 |
03-03-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
11.0132 |
11.0138 |
?0.005 |
?22.13 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
13.1718 |
13.1912 |
?0.15 |
?21.83 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
11.6256 |
11.6757 |
?0.43 |
?21.67 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.0720 |
8.0839 |
?0.15 |
?21.79 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Crude oil prices jumped almost 4% for the week, on the back of gained momentum on positive factory data from top oil importer China. Brent futures traded at US$85.83 a barrel, compared to US$82.82 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 3.63% and 0.09% respectively.
Gold prices advanced for the week as recent comments from Federal Reserve officials helped provide more clarity on the path of monetary policy this year. Gold settled at US$1,854.60, from US$1,809.20 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 2.51% and 1.56% respectively.
The price of Cocoa recorded an increase for the week. Cocoa traded at US$2,760.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$2,748.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.44% and 6.15% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-23 |
27-02-23 |
03-03-23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
82.82 |
85.83 |
?3.63 |
?0.09 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,809.20 |
1,854.60 |
?2.51 |
?1.56 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
2,748.00 |
2,760.00 |
?0.44 |
?6.15 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Right of First Offer (ROFO): A right of first offer (ROFO) is a contractual obligation that allows the holder to purchase an asset before the owner tries to sell it to someone else. If the right holder is no longer interested in the property, the seller can then sell it to a third party. Rights of first offer are most commonly used in the real estate industry and the sale of businesses.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rofo.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email:etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel:+233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email:moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel:+233 (0) 24 499 0069
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
Plot No. 169 Block 6
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 26171 7001/ 26 300 3917
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestmens.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
DisclaimerThe contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its