MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2025 Real GDP Growth |
5.3% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2025 |
5.3% |
2025 Projected Real GDP Growth |
4.4% |
BoG Policy Rate |
25.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
24.21% |
Inflation for August 2025 |
11.5% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2025 |
11.9% |
Budget Surplus (% GDP) – Jun, 2025 |
1.1% |
2025 Budget Surplus Target (%GDP) |
0.4% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jun, 2025 |
613.0 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jun, 2025 |
43.8% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) again closed the week with mixed performance as investor activity remained strong despite a marginal decline in the main market index.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) declined by 157.93 points (-2.15%) for the week to close at 7,172.44 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 46.72%.
The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI), however, increased by 32.34 points (+0.95%) for the week to close at 3,444.30 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 44.67%.
Market capitalization dipped by 1.27% to close the week at GH¢147,703.09 million, from GH¢149,598.17 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 32.64%.
The week recorded a total of 17,081,517 shares, valued at GH¢67,569,870.48, compared with 2,155,384 shares valued at GH¢15,508,391.08 that were traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both the volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 89.76% and 85.43% of the volume and value of shares traded, respectively.
The market closed the week with 6 advancers and 1 decliner as indicated below:
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
IIL |
0.04 |
0.05 |
?25.00% |
GCB |
10.01 |
11.02 |
?10.09% |
GLD |
396.70 |
416.00 |
?4.87% |
EGL |
2.90 |
3.00 |
?3.45% |
TOTAL |
31.93 |
31.96 |
?0.09% |
SCB |
28.01 |
28.02 |
?0.04% |
MTNGH |
3.87 |
3.70 |
?4.39% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange.
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi weakened against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.9600/$, compared with GH¢11.4000/$ at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 4.68% and 22.91% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 22.58% a year ago.
The Cedi also slipped against the GBP. It traded at GH¢16.1789/£, compared with GH¢15.3997/£ at week open, reflecting w/w depreciation and YTD gain of 4.82% and 13.73% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 24.89% a year ago.
The Cedi fell against the Euro for the second week. It traded at GH¢14.0479/€, compared with GH¢13.3360/€ at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 5.07% and 8.30% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 22.83% a year ago.
The Cedi also lost grounds against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢8.3022/C$ and closed at GH¢8.6444/C$, reflecting w/w loss and YTD gain of 3.96% and 18.12% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 20.37% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
01-09-25 |
05-09-25 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
14.7001 |
11.4000 |
11.9600 |
?4.68 |
?22.91 |
GBP/GHS |
18.4008 |
15.3997 |
16.1789 |
?4.82 |
?13.73 |
EUR/GHS |
15.2141 |
13.3360 |
14.0479 |
?5.07 |
?8.30 |
CAD/GHS |
10.2107 |
8.3022 |
8.6444 |
?3.96 |
?18.12 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢4,364.78 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day, and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compares with GH¢3,335.37 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 10.42% p.a. from 10.33% p.a. last week, whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 12.41% p.a. from 12.37% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 12.97% p.a. from 13.00% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-25 |
01-09-25 |
05-09-25 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
28.04 |
10.33 |
10.42 |
?0.92 |
?62.83 |
182 Day TB |
28.68 |
12.37 |
12.41 |
?0.31 |
?56.73 |
364 Day TB |
30.07 |
13.00 |
12.97 |
?0.20 |
?56.86 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
4,364.78 |
3,335.37 |
?30.86% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
4,389.78 |
3,516.92 |
?24.82% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
3,788 |
6,723 |
?43.66% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
3,692.62 |
5,925.38 |
?37.68% |
Target coverage ratio |
1.16 |
0.52 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.19 |
0.59 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.99 |
0.95 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
01-09-25 |
05-09-25 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
40,169.31 |
40,488.70 |
44,411.31 |
?9.69 |
?10.56 |
0.50 oz |
20,486.68 |
20,596.57 |
22,567.71 |
?9.57 |
?10.16 |
0.25 oz |
10,675.23 |
10,673.79 |
11,670.48 |
?9.34 |
?9.32 |
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices fell as a weak U.S. jobs report dimmed the outlook for energy demand, while swelling supplies looked to grow further after OPEC and allied producers met over the weekend. Brent futures traded at US$65.50 a barrel, compared to US$68.12 at week's open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 3.85% and 12.25% respectively.
Gold prices rose on growing bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week. Gold settled at US$3,653.30, from US$3,530.70 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 3.47% and 38.33% respectively.
The price of Cocoa again slipped for the week. Cocoa traded at US$7,471.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$7,710.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 3.10% and 35.29% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
01-09-25 |
05-09-25 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
74.64 |
68.12 |
65.50 |
?3.85 |
?12.25 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,641.00 |
3,530.70 |
3,653.30 |
?3.47 |
?38.33 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
11,545.00 |
7,710.00 |
7,471.00 |
?3.10 |
?35.29 |
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Plain Vanilla: It is the most basic or standard version of a financial instrument, usually options, bonds, futures, and swaps. It is the opposite of an exotic instrument, which alters the components of a traditional financial instrument, resulting in a more complex security.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/plainvanilla.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 54 836 7639
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.