MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q3, 2022 GDP Growth |
2.9% |
Average GDP Growth for 2022 |
3.5% |
2022 Projected GDP Growth |
3.7% |
BoG Policy Rate |
28.00% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
25.33% |
Inflation for Dec, 2022 |
54.1% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2022 |
28.5% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Nov, 2022 |
9.8% |
2022 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
6.6% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Nov, 2022 |
575.7 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Nov, 2022 |
93.5% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of price decreases by 5 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 86.93 points (-3.58%) to close the week at 2,342.62 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) loss of 4.14%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also lost 22.84 points (-1.12%) to close the week at 2,040.96 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 1.68%.
Market capitalization decreased by 1.38% to close the week at GH¢63,604.41 million, from GH¢64,495.09 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD depreciation of 1.40%.
Trading activity recorded a total of 902,475 shares valued at GH¢827,347.05 changing hands, compared with 119,777 shares, valued at GH¢2,068,375.71 in the preceding week.
SIC dominated volume of trades for the week whiles MTN dominated value of trades, accounting for 35.20% and 31.63% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 1 advancer and 5 laggards as indicated on the table below. `
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
TOTAL |
4.01 |
4.06 |
?1.25% |
UNIL |
2.58 |
2.25 |
?12.79% |
GCB |
3.9 |
3.51 |
?10.00% |
FML |
2.7 |
2.5 |
?7.41% |
MTNGH |
0.88 |
0.82 |
?6.82% |
SCB |
20.16 |
19.95 |
?1.04% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi picked up against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢10.7990/$, compared with GH¢10.8000/$ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.01% and 20.59% respectively. This compares with YTD loss of 1.66% a year ago.
The Cedi similarly strengthened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.0501/£, compared with GH¢13.3769/£ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 2.50% and 20.98% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 1.64% a year ago.
The Cedi also strengthened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢11.6931/€, compared with GH¢11.7387/€ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.39% and 21.79% respectively. This compares with YTD loss of 2.10% a year ago.
The Cedi further strengthened against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢8.1168/C$ but closed at GH¢8.0716/C$, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.56% and 21.67% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 0.90% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
30-01-23 |
03-02-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
10.8000 |
10.7990 |
?0.01 |
?20.59 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
13.3769 |
13.0501 |
?2.50 |
?20.98 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
11.7387 |
11.6931 |
?0.39 |
?21.79 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.1168 |
8.0716 |
?0.56 |
?21.67 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢1,953.83 million for the week across the 91-Day and 182-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢1,983.10 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 35.75% p.a from 35.71% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 35.81% p.a from 35.76% p.a. last week.
The table and graph below highlight primary market yields at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-23 |
30-01-23 |
03-02-23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
35.71 |
35.75 |
?0.09 |
?1.08 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
35.76 |
35.81 |
?0.15 |
?0.47 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices fell to over three-week lows at the week end in a volatile session, after strong U.S. jobs data raised concerns about higher interest rates and as investors sought more clarity on the imminent EU embargo on Russian refined products. Brent futures traded at US$79.94 a barrel, compared to US$86.40 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 7.48% and 6.95% respectively.
Gold tumbled almost 3% last week after a blockbuster U.S. jobs report for January triggered profit-taking on the precious metal’s long-running rally, putting it way off the $2,000-an-ounce target eyed by bulls in the space. Gold settled at US$1,862.90, from US$1,928.60 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 3.41% and 2.01% respectively.
The price of Cocoa recorded a decrease for the week. The commodity traded at US$2,569.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$2,627.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 2.21% and 1.19% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-23 |
30-01-23 |
03-02-23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
86.40 |
79.94 |
?7.48 |
?6.95 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,928.60 |
1,862.90 |
?3.41 |
?2.01 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
2,627.00 |
2,569.00 |
?2.21 |
?1.19 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Reverse Repurchase Agreement: A reverse repurchase agreement (RRP), or reverse repo, is the sale of securities with the agreement to repurchase them at a higher price at a specific future date. A reverse repo refers to the seller side of a repurchase agreement (RP), or repo.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/reverserepurchaseagreement.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email:etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel:+233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email:moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel:+233 (0) 24 499 0069
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
Plot No. 169 Block 6
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 26171 7001/ 26 300 3917
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestmens.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
DisclaimerThe contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.