MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4, 2021 GDP Growth |
7.0% |
Average GDP Growth for 2021 |
5.4% |
2022 Projected GDP Growth |
5.5% |
BoG Policy Rate |
19.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
18.86% |
Inflation for April, 2022 |
23.6% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2022 |
8.0% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Mar, 2022 |
2.6% |
2022 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.4% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Mar, 2022 |
391.9 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Mar, 2022 |
78.0% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange strengthened for the week on the back of gains in share prices of 4 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE CI) gained 2.37 points (+0.09%) to close at 2,564.20 points, reflecting year-to-date (YTD) loss of 8.07%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE FI) also gained 4.11 points (+0.19%) to close at 2,210.43 points, reflecting year-to-date (YTD) gain of 2.72%.
Market capitalization inched up by 0.05% to close the week at GH¢62,540.50 million, from GH¢62,508.52 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects YTD decrease of 3.03%.
Trading activity registered a total of 1,667,473 shares valued at GH¢3,918,729.40 changing hands, compared with 631,248,142 shares, valued at GH¢580,516,363.55 in the preceding week.
MTN dominated volume of trades for the week, accounting for 57.93% of trades whiles New Gold dominated value of trades, accounting for 60.42% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 4 leaders and 1 laggards as indicated on the table below. `
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
W/W Gain/Loss (%) |
SIC |
0.26 |
0.28 |
?7.69% |
CAL |
0.87 |
0.91 |
?4.60% |
GLD |
142.5 |
143.6 |
?.77% |
TOTAL |
4.05 |
4.06 |
?0.25% |
GCB |
5.09 |
5.07 |
?0.39% |
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi marginally depreciated against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢7.1323/$, compared with GH¢7.1163/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.22% and 15.79% respectively. This compares with YTD appreciation of 0.50% a year ago.
The Cedi depreciated against the GBP for the first time after gains in four consecutive weeks. It traded at GH¢8.8979/£, compared with GH¢8.7022/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciation of 2.20% and 8.66% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 3.03% a year ago.
The Cedi also lost against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢7.5276/€, compared with GH¢7.4001/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciation of 1.69% and 9.29% respectively. This compares with YTD appreciation of 1.12% a year ago.
The Cedi further depreciated against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢5.4975/C$ but closed at GH¢5.5558/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciation of 1.05% and 14.65% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 4.76% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/22 |
16/05/22 |
20/05/22 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
6.0061 |
7.1163 |
7.1323 |
?0.22 |
?15.79 |
GBP/GHS |
8.1272 |
8.7022 |
8.8979 |
?2.20 |
?8.66 |
EUR/GHS |
6.8281 |
7.4001 |
7.5276 |
?1.69 |
?9.29 |
CAD/GHS |
4.7416 |
5.4975 |
5.5558 |
?1.05 |
?14.65 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢1,292.10 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 3-Year Fixed Rate Bond. This compared with GH¢1,248.67 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 19.08% p.a from 18.23% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 20.76% p.a from 19.26% p.a. last week. The 3-Year FXR Bond settled at 25.00% p.a from 20.85% p.a at last issue.
The table and graph below highlight primary market yields at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01/01/22 |
16/05/22 |
20/05/22 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
12.53 |
18.23 |
19.08 |
4.69 |
52.33 |
182 Day TB |
13.21 |
19.26 |
20.76 |
7.80 |
57.17 |
364 Day TB |
16.64 |
21.55 |
21.55 |
0.00 |
29.47 |
2-Yr FXR TN |
19.75 |
21.50 |
21.50 |
0.00 |
8.86 |
3-Yr Bond |
20.50 |
20.85 |
25.00 |
19.90 |
21.95 |
5-Yr Bond |
21.00 |
22.30 |
22.30 |
0.00 |
6.19 |
6-Yr Bond |
18.80 |
21.75 |
21.75 |
0.00 |
15.69 |
7-Yr Bond |
18.10 |
18.10 |
18.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
10-Yr Bond |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
15-Yr Bond |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
20-Yr Bond |
20.20 |
20.20 |
20.20 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Crude oil prices settled slightly higher for the week as a planned European Union ban on Russian oil and easing of COVID-19 lockdowns in China countered concerns that slowing economic growth will hurt demand. Brent futures traded at US$112.55 a barrel on Friday, compared to US$111.55 at week open. This reflects w/w loss and YTD gains of 0.90% and 44.70% respectively.
Gold prices rose to a one-week high as the U.S. dollar receded from two-decade highs, reviving demand for safe-haven bullion. Gold settled at US$1,842.10, from US$1,808.20 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 1.87% and 0.74% respectively.
Prices of Cocoa declined for the week. The commodity traded at US$2,429.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$2,483.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 2.17% and 3.61% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/22 |
16/05/22 |
20/05/22 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
77.78 |
111.55 |
112.55 |
?0.90 |
?44.70 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,828.60 |
1,842.10 |
?1.87 |
?0.74 |
|
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,520.00 |
2,483.00 |
2,429.00 |
?2.17 |
?3.61 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Capital Flight: Capital flight is a large-scale exodus of financial assets and capital from a nation due to events such as political or economic instability, currency devaluation or the imposition of capital controls.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capitalflight.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).