MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q2, 2022 GDP Growth |
4.8% |
Average GDP Growth for 2022 |
4.1% |
2022 Projected GDP Growth |
3.7% |
BoG Policy Rate |
24.50% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
22.36% |
Inflation for Aug, 2022 |
33.9% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2022 |
28.5% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Sep, 2022 |
6.4% |
2022 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
6.6% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jul, 2022 |
402.4 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jul, 2022 |
68.0% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week following four consecutive weekly declines on the back of price increases by 2 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE CI) gained 1.21 points (0.05%) to close at 2,461.33 points, reflecting year-to-date (YTD) loss of 11.76%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE FI), on the other hand, lost 0.34 points (-0.02%) to close at 2,069.76 points, reflecting YTD loss of 3.81%.
Market capitalization increased by 0.74% to close the week at GH¢64,458.05 million, from GH¢63,985.81 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD decrease of 0.06%.
Trading activity recorded a total of 4,443,096 shares valued at GH¢30,079,436.97 changing hands, compared with 32,024,328 shares, valued at GH¢30,794,565.98 in the preceding week.
MTN dominated volume of trades whiles New Gold dominated value of trades for the week, accounting for 82.05% and 87.17% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 2 advancers and a decliner as indicated on the table below. `
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
BOPP |
6.48 |
6.9 |
?6.48% |
GLD |
166.5 |
181.44 |
?8.97% |
SIC |
0.33 |
0.32 |
?3.03% |
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi weakened against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢9.6375/$, compared with GH¢9.6048/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.66% and 37.47% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 1.85% a year ago.
The Cedi also weakened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢10.7034/£, compared with GH¢10.7017/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.02% and 24.07% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 1.68% a year ago.
The Cedi continued its downward trend against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢9.4200/€, compared with GH¢9.4147/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.06% and 27.51% respectively. This compares with YTD appreciation of 3.98% a year ago.
The Cedi again weakened against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢6.9969/C$ but closed at GH¢7.0364/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.56% and 32.61% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 3.83% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/22 |
03/10/22 |
07/10/22 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
6.0061 |
9.6048 |
9.6375 |
?0.34 |
?37.68 |
GBP/GHS |
8.1272 |
10.7017 |
10.7034 |
?0.02 |
?24.07 |
EUR/GHS |
6.8281 |
9.4147 |
9.4200 |
?0.06 |
?27.51 |
CAD/GHS |
4.7416 |
6.9969 |
7.0364 |
?0.56 |
?32.61 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢ 1,357.21 million for the week across the 91-Day and 182-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢ 999.86 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 30.96% p.a from 30.45% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 31.94% p.a from 31.57% p.a. last week. The table and graph below highlight primary market yields at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01/01/22 |
03/10/22 |
07/10/22 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
12.53 |
30.45 |
30.96 |
?1.68 |
?147.20 |
182 Day TB |
13.21 |
31.57 |
31.94 |
?1.18 |
?141.76 |
364 Day TB |
16.64 |
31.55 |
31.55 |
0.00 |
89.54 |
2-Yr FXR TN |
19.75 |
21.50 |
21.50 |
0.00 |
8.86 |
3-Yr Bond |
20.50 |
29.85 |
29.85 |
0.00 |
45.61 |
5-Yr Bond |
21.00 |
22.30 |
22.30 |
0.00 |
6.19 |
6-Yr Bond |
18.80 |
21.75 |
21.75 |
0.00 |
15.69 |
7-Yr Bond |
18.10 |
18.10 |
18.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
10-Yr Bond |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
15-Yr Bond |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
20-Yr Bond |
20.20 |
20.20 |
20.20 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Source:
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil futures rose to five-week highs for the week following an announcement by OPEC+ on Wednesday to cut output by 2 million barrels per day (bpd). Brent futures traded at US$97.92 a barrel on Friday, compared to US$85.14 at week open. This reflects w/w and YTD appreciations of 15.01% and 25.89% respectively.
Gold slid on Friday but still posted a second straight weekly gain as an upward run in the first two days of the week helped the long crowd in bullion weather a robust U.S. jobs report for September that strengthened the dollar. Gold settled at US$1,709.30, from US$1,684.90 last week, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 1.45% and 6.52% respectively.
Prices of Cocoa increased for the week. The commodity traded at US$2,396.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$2,354.00 last week, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 1.78% and 4.92% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/22 |
03/10/22 |
07/10/22 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
77.78 |
85.14 |
97.92 |
?15.01 |
?25.89 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,828.60 |
1,684.90 |
1,709.30 |
?1.45 |
?6.52 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,520.00 |
2,354.00 |
2,396.00 |
?1.78 |
?4.92 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Deadweight Debt: A debt incurred, normally by a government rather than by an individual, as a result of borrowing, not secured by the purchase of an enduring asset, to meet current needs.
Source: https://finansleksikon.no/en/eng-finance/d/deadweight-debt
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email:etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel:+233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email:moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel:+233 (0) 24 499 0069
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
Plot No. 169 Block 6
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 26171 7001/ 26 300 3917
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestmens.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
DisclaimerThe contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.