MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4, 2022 Real GDP Growth |
3.7% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2022 |
3.7% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
2.8% |
BoG Policy Rate |
29.50% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
25.94% |
Inflation for April, 2023 |
41.2% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
18.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Nov, 2022 |
9.8% |
2022 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
6.6% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Dec, 2022 |
434.6 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Dec, 2022 |
71.2% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of price declines by 5 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 51.14 points (-1.99%) to close the week at 2,519.92 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 3.11%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also lost 10.08 points (-0.60%) to close the week at 1,677.69 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 18.26%.
Market capitalization decreased by 0.80% to close the week at GH¢65,873.36 million, from GH¢66,407.09 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 2.12%.
The week recorded a total of 6,453,209 shares valued at GH¢7,818,133.86 changing hands, compared with 6,018,367 shares, valued at GH¢66,002,877.74 in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 58.22% and 53.62% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 3 advancers and 5 laggards as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
FML |
1.00 |
1.30 |
?30.00% |
UNIL |
5.80 |
6.08 |
?4.83% |
TOTAL |
6.43 |
6.45 |
?0.31% |
EGL |
2.70 |
2.43 |
?10.00% |
BOPP |
14.11 |
13.00 |
?7.87% |
MTNGH |
1.14 |
1.10 |
?3.51% |
GCB |
3.19 |
3.15 |
?1.25% |
SCB |
12.51 |
12.5 |
?0.08% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi lost grounds against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢10.9755/$, compared with GH¢10.8128/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciation of 1.48% and 21.86% respectively. This compares with a loss of 15.90% a year ago.
The Cedi also weakened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.5361/£, compared with GH¢13.4971/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.29% and 23.82% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 9.72% a year ago.
The Cedi again weakened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢11.7537/€, compared with GH¢11.7050/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.41% and 22.19% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 10.67% a year ago.
The Cedi further weakened against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.0121/C$ but closed at GH¢8.0517/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.49% and 21.48% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 15.25% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
23-05-23 |
26-05-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
10.8128 |
10.9755 |
?1.48 |
?21.86 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
13.4971 |
13.5361 |
?0.29 |
?23.82 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
11.7050 |
11.7537 |
?0.41 |
?22.19 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.0121 |
8.0517 |
?0.49 |
?21.48 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢3,183.51 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,728.02 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 20.80% p.a. from 20.56% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 23.62% p.a. from 23.36% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 28.02% p.a. from 27.59% p.a. last week
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-23 |
22-05-23 |
26-05-23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
20.56 |
20.80 |
?1.15 |
?41.18 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
23.36 |
23.62 |
?1.15 |
?34.34 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
27.59 |
28.02 |
?1.54 |
?21.95 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
3,183.51 |
2,728.02 |
?16.70% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
3,183.54 |
2,728.02 |
?16.70% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
3,431 |
2,732 |
?25.59% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
3,263.01 |
2,598.45 |
?25.58% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.93 |
1.00 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
0.98 |
1.05 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices rose as U.S. lawmakers said they had reached a provisional agreement to raise the debt ceiling. Brent futures traded at US$75.58 a barrel, compared to US$74.17 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 1.90% and 12.02% respectively.
Gold prices hovered near two-month lows as markets remained on edge over raising the U.S. debt limit. Gold settled at US$1,944.10, from US$1,978.70 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD gain of 1.89% and 8.51% respectively.
The price of Cocoa fell for the week. Cocoa traded at US$2,991.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,068.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 2.51% and 15.04% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-23 |
22-05-23 |
26-05-23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
75.58 |
76.95 |
?1.81 |
?10.43 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,978.70 |
1,944.10 |
?1.75 |
?6.46 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,068.00 |
2,991.00 |
?2.51 |
?15.04 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Scrip Dividends: A scrip dividend refers to a certificate that shareholders are given as an option to receive dividends as cash at a later date or to receive them as extra shares. A scrip dividend is similar to an automatic reinvestment since shareholders get extra shares of the same company.
Source: https://study.com/learn/lesson/scrip-dividend-reasons-examples.html
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email:etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email:moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email:jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestmens.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.