MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q2, 2025 Real GDP Growth |
6.3% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2025 |
6.3% |
2025 Projected Real GDP Growth |
4.4% |
BoG Policy Rate |
21.50% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
21.27% |
Inflation for August 2025 |
11.5% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2025 |
8.0% |
Budget Surplus (% GDP) – Jul, 2025 |
1.0% |
2025 Budget Surplus Target (%GDP) |
0.4% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jul, 2025 |
628.8 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jul, 2025 |
44.9% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) crossed the 8,000-point threshold as thirteen equities recorded solid price gains during the week.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 340.85 points (+4.38%) for the week to close at 8,120.00 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 66.10%.
The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) also increased by 97.65 points (+2.67%) for the week to close at 3,751.34 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 57.57%.
Market capitalization grew by 2.83% to close the week at GH¢161,818.77 million, from GH¢157,370.67 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 45.32%.
The week recorded a total of 7,651,661 shares, valued at GH¢37,466,387.22, compared with 8,799,788 shares valued at GH¢33,762,941.34 that were traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both the volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 82.10% and 69.57% of the volume and value of shares traded, respectively.
The market closed the week with 13 advancers and 2 laggards as indicated below:
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
EGH |
9.35 |
11.00 |
?17.65% |
CAL |
0.57 |
0.63 |
?10.53% |
FML |
4.80 |
5.29 |
?10.21% |
MTNGH |
4.09 |
4.35 |
?6.36% |
CLYD |
0.16 |
0.17 |
?6.25% |
GCB |
13.50 |
14.03 |
?3.93% |
GLD |
459.00 |
474.00 |
?3.27% |
EGL |
3.10 |
3.20 |
?3.23% |
RBGH |
1.18 |
1.20 |
?1.69% |
TOTAL |
35.07 |
35.49 |
?1.20% |
ETI |
0.89 |
0.90 |
?1.12% |
SOGEGH |
2.05 |
2.07 |
?0.98% |
BOPP |
37.78 |
37.81 |
?0.08% |
GGBL |
6.05 |
5.47 |
?9.59% |
UNIL |
20.00 |
19.99 |
?0.05% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢12.4000/$, compared with GH¢12.2700/$ at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 1.05% and 18.55% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 24.95% a year ago.
The Cedi also depreciated against the GBP. It traded at GH¢16.6266/£, compared with GH¢16.5455/£ at week open, reflecting w/w depreciation and YTD gain of 0.49% and 10.67% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 28.67% a year ago.
The Cedi further weakened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢14.5001/€, compared with GH¢14.4219/€ at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 0.54% and 4.92% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 25.77% a year ago.
The Cedi however appreciated marginally against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢8.9108/C$ and closed at GH¢8.8934/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 0.20% and 14.81% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 23.21% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
23-09-25 |
26-09-25 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
14.7001 |
12.2700 |
12.4000 |
?1.05 |
?18.55 |
GBP/GHS |
18.4008 |
16.5455 |
16.6266 |
?0.49 |
?10.67 |
EUR/GHS |
15.2141 |
14.4219 |
14.5001 |
?0.54 |
?4.92 |
CAD/GHS |
10.2107 |
8.9108 |
8.8934 |
?0.20 |
?14.81 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢3,463.03 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day, and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compares with GH¢3,432.82 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 10.24% p.a. from 10.46% p.a. last week, whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 11.67% p.a. from 12.36% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 11.43% p.a. from 12.88% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-25 |
23-09-25 |
26-09-25 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
28.04 |
10.46 |
10.24 |
?2.12 |
?63.49 |
182 Day TB |
28.68 |
12.36 |
11.67 |
?5.60 |
?59.32 |
364 Day TB |
30.07 |
12.88 |
11.43 |
?11.31 |
?62.00 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
3,463.03 |
3,432.82 |
?0.88% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
3,486.35 |
3,445.95 |
?1.17% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
5,581 |
3,019 |
?84.86% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
4,817.99 |
2,940.94 |
?63.82% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.62 |
1.14 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
0.72 |
1.17 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.99 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
23-09-25 |
26-09-25 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
40,169.31 |
46,325.08 |
47,770.19 |
?3.12 |
?18.92 |
0.50 oz |
20,486.68 |
23,527.61 |
24,251.68 |
?3.08 |
?18.38 |
0.25 oz |
10,675.23 |
12,153.85 |
12,517.60 |
?2.99 |
?17.26 |
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices rose as Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russia’s energy infrastructure cut the country’s fuel exports. Brent futures traded at US$69.22 a barrel, compared to US$66.68 at week's open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 3.81% and 7.26% respectively.
Gold saw increased safe haven demand this week amid increasing conviction that U.S. lawmakers will not be able to avert a government shutdown. Gold settled at US$3,793.90, from US$3,705.80 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 2.38% and 43.65% respectively.
The price of Cocoa further declined for the week. Cocoa traded at US$6,908.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$7,243.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 4.63% and 40.16% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
22-09-25 |
26-09-25 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
74.64 |
66.68 |
69.22 |
?3.81 |
?7.26 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,641.00 |
3,705.80 |
3,793.90 |
?2.38 |
?43.65 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
11,545.00 |
7,243.00 |
6,908.00 |
?4.63 |
?40.16 |
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Knock-Out Option: It is a barrier option with a built-in mechanism causing it to expire worthless if the underlying asset hits a specified price level. This design introduces limits on potential gains, allowing these options to be acquired at lower premiums than standard options. Primarily utilized by large institutions in commodity and currency markets, knock-out options may also be traded over-the-counter.
Source:https://www.investopedia.com/terms/k/knock-outoption.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 54 836 7639
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.