MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2023 Real GDP Growth |
4.2% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2023 |
4.2% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
1.5% |
BoG Policy Rate |
30.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
27.3% |
Inflation for August, 2023 |
40.1% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
31.3% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – June, 2023 |
0.8% |
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.7% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jun, 2023 |
575.5 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jun, 2023 |
71.8% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week on the back of price gains by 8 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 86.96 points (+2.83%) to close the week at 3,158.79 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 29.25%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also gained 101.44 points (+5.75%) to close the week at 1,866.08 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 9.09%.
Market capitalization increased by 1.28% to close the week at GH¢74,041.92 million, from GH¢73,109.24 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 14.78%.
The week recorded a total of 7,542,344 shares valued at GH¢14,942,850.94 changing hands, compared with 32,686,742 shares, valued at GH¢44,684,880.94 in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both the volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 71.59% and 52.39% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 8 advancers and 1 decliner as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
FML |
2.18 |
2.90 |
?33.03% |
SOGEGH |
1.20 |
1.58 |
?31.67% |
GGBL |
2.69 |
3.40 |
?26.39% |
SCB |
17.30 |
19.45 |
?12.43% |
BOPP |
16.94 |
18.63 |
?9.98% |
CAL |
2.82 |
3.10 |
?9.93% |
GCB |
3.50 |
3.53 |
?0.86% |
ASG |
8.87 |
8.88 |
?0.11% |
CAL |
0.60 |
0.55 |
?8.33% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.0708/$, compared with GH¢11.0516/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.17% and 22.53% respectively. This compares with a loss of 27.55% a year ago.
The Cedi however strengthened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.7284/£, compared with GH¢13.7913/£ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.46% and 24.89% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 14.08% a year ago.
The Cedi again inched up against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢11.8155/€, compared with GH¢11.8391/€ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.20% and 22.60% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 17.70% a year ago.
The Cedi lost against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.1116/C$ but closed at GH¢8.1907/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.97% and 22.81% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 24.06% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/22 |
11/09/23 |
15/09/23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
11.0516 |
11.0708 |
?0.17 |
?22.53 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
13.7913 |
13.7284 |
?0.46 |
?24.89 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
11.8391 |
11.8155 |
?0.20 |
?22.60 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.1116 |
8.1907 |
?0.97 |
?22.81 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢3,346.58 billion for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,907.27 billion raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 28.12% p.a. from 27.79% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 29.39% p.a. from 29.12% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 32.17% p.a. from 31.97% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01/01/23 |
11/09/23 |
15/09/23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
27.79 |
28.12 |
?1.20 |
?20.48 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
29.12 |
29.39 |
?0.94 |
?18.30 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
31.97 |
32.17 |
?0.62 |
?10.38 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
Current |
Previous |
Change |
|
Bid (GH¢' M) |
3,346.58 |
2,907.27 |
?15.11% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
3,350.64 |
2,944.71 |
?13.79% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
3,759 |
2,601 |
?44.52% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
3,514.47 |
4,660.63 |
?24.59% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.89 |
1.13 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
0.95 |
0.63 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
0.99 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices gained as supply tightened, spearheaded by Saudi Arabian production cuts and optimism around Chinese demand to lift crude. Brent futures traded at US$93.93 a barrel, compared to US$90.65 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 3.62% and 9.34% respectively.
Gold prices rose as markets bet that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold, while growing fears of a U.S. government shutdown spurred some safe-haven demand. Gold settled at US$1,946.20, from US$1,942.70 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.18% and 6.57% respectively.
The price of Cocoa increased for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,757.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,609.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 4.10% and 44.50% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/23 |
11/09/23 |
15/09/23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
90.65 |
93.93 |
?3.62 |
?9.34 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,942.70 |
1,946.20 |
?0.18 |
?6.57 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,609.00 |
3,757.00 |
?4.10 |
?44.50 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Excise Duty: Excise duty is tax imposed on the manufacture, sale or consumption of some selected products such as alcoholic drinks, tobacco products and petroleum products. It is also imposed on imported products to compensate for the internal levy on goods of like nature.
Source: https://gra.gov.gh/domestic-tax/tax-types/excise-duty/
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestments.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guarantee