MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4, 2022 Real GDP Growth |
3.7% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2022 |
3.6% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
2.8% |
BoG Policy Rate |
29.50% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
25.98% |
Inflation for May, 2023 |
42.2% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
18.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Mar, 2023 |
0.8% |
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
6.6% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Dec, 2022 |
434.6 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Dec, 2022 |
71.2% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week on the back of price increases by 3 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 8.75 points (+0.33%) to close the week at 2,646.29 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 8.28%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also gained 15.84 points (+0.95%) to close the week at 1,691.02 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 17.62%.
Market capitalization increased by 0.19% to close the week at GH¢67,327.45 million, from GH¢67,199.01 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 4.37%.
The week recorded a total of 1,272,253 shares valued at GH¢4,230,312.69 changing hands, compared with 397,863 shares, valued at GH¢741,051.88 in the preceding week.
GCB dominated both volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 80.60% and 77.54% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 3 advancers as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
CAL |
0.50 |
0.56 |
?12.00% |
SCB |
12.50 |
12.80 |
?2.40% |
GCB |
3.15 |
3.20 |
?1.59% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢10.9898/$, compared with GH¢10.9767/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.12% and 21.96% respectively. This compares with a loss of 16.62% a year ago.
The Cedi also weakened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢14.0840/£, compared with GH¢13.8038/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.99% and 26.78% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 7.46% a year ago.
The Cedi again weakened marginally against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.0074/€, compared with GH¢11.7996/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.73% and 23.83% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 9.43% a year ago.
The Cedi further weakened against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.2259/C$ but closed at GH¢8.3268/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.21% and 24.07% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 14.14% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
13-06-23 |
16-06-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
10.9767 |
10.9898 |
? 0.12 |
?21.96 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
13.8038 |
14.0840 |
? 1.99 |
?26.78 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
11.7996 |
12.0074 |
? 1.73 |
?23.83 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.2259 |
8.3268 |
? 1.21 |
?24.07 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢3,015.74 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,801.02 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 21.69% p.a. from 21.27% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 24.97% p.a. from 23.95% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 28.91% p.a. from 27.82% p.a. last week
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-23 |
12-06-23 |
16-06-23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
21.27 |
21.69 |
?1.99 |
?38.66 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
23.95 |
24.97 |
?4.26 |
?30.59 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
27.82 |
28.91 |
?3.93 |
?19.45 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
Current |
Previous |
Change |
|
Bid (GH¢' M) |
3,015.74 |
2,801.02 |
?7.67% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
3,018.96 |
2,801.02 |
?7.78% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
3,790 |
2,631 |
?44.05% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
3,598.22 |
2,498.02 |
?44.04% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.80 |
1.06 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
0.84 |
1.12 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Crude prices closed higher, helped by higher refinery demand and a rate cut in China, the world’s number one destination for oil. Brent futures traded at US$76.14 a barrel, compared to US$74.79 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 1.81% and 11.37% respectively.
Gold prices fell after the Fed kept rates steady but warned that it will likely hike at least two more times this year. Gold settled at US$1,971.20, from US$1,977.20 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 0.30% and 7.94% respectively.
The price of Cocoa increased marginally for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,188.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,180.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.25% and 22.62% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
01-01-23 |
12-06-23 |
16-06-23 |
|||
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
74.79 |
76.14 |
?1.81 |
?11.37 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,977.20 |
1,971.20 |
?0.30 |
?7.94 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,180.00 |
3,188.00 |
?0.25 |
?22.62 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Loan Shark: A loan shark is a person who – or an entity that – loans money at extremely high interest rates and often uses threats of violence to collect debts. The interest rates are generally well above an established legal rate, and often loan sharks are members of organized crime groups.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/loansharking.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email:etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email:moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email:jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestmens.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its