MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2024 Real GDP Growth 4.7%
Average Real GDP Growth for 2024 4.7%
2024 Projected Real GDP Growth 2.8%
BoG Policy Rate 29.0%
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate 28.84%
Inflation for July, 2024 20.9%
End Period Inflation Target – 2024 15.0%
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Jun, 2024 3.4%
2024 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) 3.0%
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jun, 2024 742.0
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jun, 2024 70.6%
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of price decreases by 2 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 87.15 points (-1.96%) for the week to close at 4,353.38 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 39.08%. The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) also lost 4.77 points (-0.22%) for the week to close at 2,118.06 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 11.38%.
Market capitalization decreased by 0.99% to close the week at GH¢91,854.74 million, from GH¢92,777.41 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 24.31%.
The week recorded a total of 1,993,860 shares valued at GH¢6,818,056.29, compared with 17,883,651 shares, valued at GH¢113,161,405.85 traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both the volume and value of trades for the week accounting for 80.76% and 51.97% of the volume and value of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 4 advancers and 2 decliners as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week
Equity Opening Price Closing Price Gain/Loss (%)
GLD 366.24 376.00 ?2.66%
TBL 0.82 0.83 ?1.22%
TOTAL 12.33 12.36 ?0.24%
GCB 5.90 5.91 ?0.17%
CAL 0.34 0.31 ?8.82%
MTNGH 2.27 2.20 ?3.08%
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi hit a different streak this week from its 7-month depreciation run against the USD. It traded at GH¢15.1315/$, compared with GH¢15.1322/$ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.005% and 21.49% respectively. This compares with a loss of 22.11% a year ago.
The Cedi depreciated further against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢19.9653/£, compared with GH¢19.5334/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 2.16% and 24.20% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 25.49% a year ago.
The Cedi declined further against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢16.9111/€, compared with GH¢16.6455/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.57% and 22.38% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 22.99% a year ago.
The Cedi again lost more ground against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢11.0427/C$ but closed at GH¢11.1976/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 1.38% and 19.53% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 21.75% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates
Currency Pair Year Open Week Open Week Close Change% YTD %
01/01/24 19/08/24 23/08/24
USD/GHS 11.8800 15.1322 15.1315 ?0.005 ?21.49
GBP/GHS 15.1334 19.5334 19.9653 ?2.16 ?24.20
EUR/GHS 13.1264 16.6455 16.9111 ?1.57 ?22.38
CAD/GHS 9.0112 11.0427 11.1976 ?1.38 ?19.53
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢5,230.59 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢4,624.63 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 24.79% p.a. from 24.84% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 26.69% p.a. from 26.75% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 27.81% p.a. from 27.85% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security Year Open Previous Yield % Current Yield % WoW Chg (%) YTD Chg (%)
01/01/24 19/08/24 23/08/24
91 Day TB 29.24 24.84 24.79 ?0.22 ?15.23
182 Day TB 31.88 26.75 26.69 ?0.23 ?16.30
364 Day TB 32.49 27.85 27.81 ?0.13 ?14.38
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary
Current Previous Change
Bid (GH¢' M) 5,230.59 4,624.63 ?13.10%
Issuance (GH¢' M) 5,230.59 4,624.63 ?13.10%
Target (GH¢' M) 5,319 4,968 ?7.07%
Maturity (GH¢' M) 4,864.14 3,775.87 ?28.82%
Target coverage ratio 0.98 0.93 na
Maturity coverage ratio 1.08 1.22 na
Bid / Cover ratio 1.00 1.00 na
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices ended the week in the red, as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell's signal that rate cuts were coming, boosted by sentiments on risk assets. Brent futures traded at US$79.02 a barrel, compared to US$79.68 at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 0.83% and 2.57% respectively.
Gold prices rose slightly as the prospect of lower U.S. interest rates battered the dollar and presented a brighter outlook for metal markets. Gold settled at US$2,546.30, from US$2,537.80 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 0.33% and 22.90% respectively.
The price of Cocoa bounced back for the week. Cocoa traded at US$9,821.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$8,637.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 13.71% and 134.06% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities Year Open Week Open Week Close Chg% YTD %
01/01/24 19/08/24 23/08/24
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) 77.04 79.68 79.02 ?0.83 ?2.57
Gold (USD/t oz.) 2,071.80 2,537.80 2,546.30 ?0.33 ?22.90
Cocoa (USD/MT) 4,196.00 8,637.00 9,821.00 ?13.71 ?134.06
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Annuitant: This refers to someone who is entitled to collect the regular payments of a pension or an annuity investment. The annuitant may be the contract holder or another person, such as a surviving spouse. Annuities are generally seen as retirement income supplements. They may be tied to an employee pension plan or a life insurance product.
Source:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/annuitant.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.