MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2024 Real GDP Growth 4.7%
Average Real GDP Growth for 2024 4.7%
2024 Projected Real GDP Growth 2.8%
BoG Policy Rate 29.0%
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate 28.84%
Inflation for June, 2024 22.8%
End Period Inflation Target – 2024 15.0%
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Jun, 2024 3.4%
2024 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) 3.0%
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jun, 2024 742.0
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jun, 2024 70.6%
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of a price decrease by 1 counter. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 145.50 points (-3.17%) for the week to close at 4,440.78 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 41.87%.
The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) remained flat (0.00%) to close the week, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 11.25%.
Market capitalization decreased by 1.67% to close the week at GH¢92,784.46 million, from GH¢94,355.99 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 25.57%.
The week recorded a total of 578,885 shares valued at GH¢12,931,017.82, compared with 735,157 shares, valued at GH¢1,944,468.33 traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated the volume of trades for the week while New Gold Exchange Traded Fund dominated the value of trades for the week accounting for 47.90% and 92.50% of the volume and value of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 2 advancers and 1 decliner as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week
Equity Opening Price Closing Price Gain/Loss (%)
GLD 362.50 367.80 ?1.46%
BOPP 23.05 23.07 ?0.09%
MTNGH 2.41 2.29 ?4.98%
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi edged closer to a 4-month depreciation run against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢15.0919/$, compared with GH¢14.9696/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.81% and 21.28% respectively. This compares with a loss of 22.06% a year ago.
The Cedi slipped further against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢19.2565/£, compared with GH¢19.1409/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 0.60% and 21.41% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 26.14% a year ago.
The Cedi weakened further against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢16.4797/€, compared with GH¢16.3255/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.94% and 20.35% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 24.11% a year ago.
The Cedi also lost some grounds against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢10.8077/C$ but closed at GH¢10.9956/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 1.71% and 18.05% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 22.76% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates
Currency Pair Year Open Week Open Week Close Change% YTD %
01-01-24 06-08-24 09-08-24
USD/GHS 11.8800 14.9696 15.0919 ?0.81 ?21.28
GBP/GHS 15.1334 19.1409 19.2565 ?0.60 ?21.41
EUR/GHS 13.1264 16.3255 16.4797 ?0.94 ?20.35
CAD/GHS 9.0112 10.8077 10.9956 ?1.71 ?18.05
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢5,300.10 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢3,803.81 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 24.83% p.a. from 24.82% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 26.76% p.a. from 26.76% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 27.86% p.a. from 27.86% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security Year Open Previous Yield % Current Yield % WoW Chg (%) YTD Chg (%)
01-01-24 06-08-24 09-08-24
91 Day TB 29.24 24.82 24.83 ?0.002 ?15.10
182 Day TB 31.88 26.76 26.76 ?0.001 ?16.05
364 Day TB 32.49 27.86 27.86 ?0.001 ?14.25
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary
Current Previous Change
Bid (GH¢' M) 5,300.10 3,803.81 ?39.34%
Issuance (GH¢' M) 5,300.10 3,803.81 ?39.34%
Target (GH¢' M) 6,558 4,363 ?50.31%
Maturity (GH¢' M) 5,453.21 3,221.54 ?69.27%
Target coverage ratio 0.81 0.87 na
Maturity coverage ratio 0.97 1.18 na
Bid / Cover ratio 1.00 1.00 na
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices jumped up by more than 3%, on expectations of a widening Middle Eastern conflict that could tighten global crude oil supplies. Brent futures traded at US$79.66 a barrel, compared to US$76.81 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 3.71% and 3.40% respectively.
Gold prices steadied, recouping some recent losses as increased volatility in risk-driven markets, particularly stocks, kept safe havens relatively well-bid. Gold settled at US$2,473.40, from US$2,469.80 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 0.15% and 19.38% respectively.
The price of Cocoa bounced back for the week. Cocoa traded at US$9,098.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$7,520.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 20.98% and 116.83% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities Year Open Week Open Week Close Chg% YTD %
01-01-24 05-08-24 09-08-24
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) 77.04 76.81 79.66 ?3.71 ?3.40
Gold (USD/t oz.) 2,071.80 2,469.80 2,473.40 ?0.15 ?19.38
Cocoa (USD/MT) 4,196.00 7,520.00 9,098.00 ?20.98 ?116.83
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Leveraged Buyout: It is the acquisition of one company by another using a significant amount of borrowed money to meet the cost of acquisition. The borrowed money can be in the form of bonds or loans. The assets of the company being acquired are often used as collateral for the loans along with the assets of the acquiring company.
Source:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/leveragedbuyout.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.