MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q2, 2023 Real GDP Growth 3.2%
Average Real GDP Growth for 2023 3.3%
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth 1.6%
BoG Policy Rate 30.0%
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate 30.18%
Inflation for November, 2023 26.4%
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 31.3%
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – August, 2023 2.1%
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) 4.6%
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Sep, 2023 567.3
Debt to GDP Ratio – Sep, 2023 66.4%
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of price declines by 3 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 67.16 points (-2.15%) to close the week at 3,063.44 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 25.35%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also lost 12.28 points (-0.64%) to close the week at 1,906.71 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) loss of 7.11%.
Market capitalization decreased by 0.99% to close the week at GH¢73,076.80 million, from GH¢73,807.06 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 13.28%.
The week recorded a total of 2,959,504 shares valued at GH¢6,258,891.61 changing hands, compared with 13,769,553 shares, valued at GH¢46,292,324.05 in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 86.44% and 55.54% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 1 advancer and 3 laggards as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week
Equity Opening
Price Closing Price Gain/Loss
(%)
FML 3.02 3.04 ?0.66%
MTNGH 1.40 1.35 ?3.57%
EGH 5.70 5.50 ?3.51%
CAL 0.51 0.50 ?1.96%
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.6431/$, compared with GH¢11.6301/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.11% and 26.34% respectively. This compares with a loss of 24.94% a year ago.
The Cedi fell against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢14.8013/£, compared with GH¢14.5917/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciation of 1.42% and 30.33% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 16.50% a year ago.
The Cedi also receeded against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.7143/€, compared with GH¢12.5278/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciation of 1.47% and 28.07% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 19.56% a year ago.
The Cedi retracted against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.5723/C$ but closed at GH¢8.7008/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.09% and 26.25% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 18.88% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates
Currency Pair Year Open Week Open Week Close Change
% YTD
%
01-01-23 11-12-23 15-12-23
USD/GHS 8.5760 11.6301 11.6431 ?0.11 ?26.34
GBP/GHS 10.3118 14.5917 14.8013 ?1.42 ?30.33
EUR/GHS 9.1457 12.5278 12.7143 ?1.47 ?28.07
CAD/GHS 6.3222 8.5723 8.7008 ?1.48 ?27.34
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢4,723.84 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢4,126.40 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 29.05% p.a. from 29.58% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 31.14% p.a. from 31.97% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 32.49% p.a. from 33.46% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security Year Open Previous Yield % Current Yield % WoW Chg (%) YTD Chg (%)
01-01-23 11-12-23 15-12-23
91 Day TB 35.36 29.58 29.05 ?1.81 ?17.85
182 Day TB 35.98 31.97 31.14 ?2.60 ?13.46
364 Day TB 35.89 33.46 32.49 ?2.89 ?9.48
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary
Current Previous Change
Bid (GH¢' M) 4,723.84 4,126.40 ?14.48%
Issuance (GH¢' M) 4,726.53 4,127.46 ?14.51%
Target (GH¢' M) 3,984 3,919 ?1.66%
Maturity (GH¢' M) 3,709.22 3,247.13 ?14.23%
Target coverage ratio 1.19 1.05 na
Maturity coverage ratio 1.27 1.27 na
Bid / Cover ratio 1.00 1.00 na
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices settled higher, buoyed by a Federal Reserve-induced slump in dollar and the International Energy Agency's brighter outlook for demand next year. Brent futures traded at US$76.55 a barrel, compared to US$75.84 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.94% and 10.90% respectively.
Gold prices rose slightly, extending a push above key levels after dovish signals from the Federal Reserve sparked steep losses in the dollar and Treasury yields. Gold settled at US$2,035.70, from US$2,014.50 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 1.05% and 11.47% respectively.
The price of Cocoa fell for the week. Cocoa traded at US$4,244.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$4,381.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 3.13% and 63.23% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities Year Open Week Open Week Close Chg
% YTD
%
01-01-23 11-12-23 15-12-23
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) 85.91 75.84 76.55 ?0.94 ?10.90
Gold (USD/t oz.) 1,826.20 2,014.50 2,035.70 ?1.05 ?11.47
Cocoa (USD/MT) 2,600.00 4,381.00 4,244.00 ?3.13 ?63.23
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Lock-up Agreement: A lock-up agreement is a contractual provision preventing insiders of a company from selling their shares for a specified period of time. They are commonly used as part of the initial public offering (IPO) process.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/lockup.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestments.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.