MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q2, 2023 Real GDP Growth |
3.2% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2023 |
3.3% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
1.6% |
BoG Policy Rate |
30.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
28.63% |
Inflation for September, 2023 |
38.1% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
31.3% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – June, 2023 |
0.8% |
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.7% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Jun, 2023 |
575.5 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Jun, 2023 |
71.9% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of price declines by 1 counter. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 0.33 points (-0.01%) to close the week at 3,125.72 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 27.90%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) however gained 16.79 points (+0.86%) to close the week at 1,979.43 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 3.56%.
Market capitalization decreased by 0.005% to close the week at GH¢73,738.08 million, from GH¢73,741.66 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 14.31%.
The week recorded a total of 3,907,818 shares valued at GH¢5,438,458.55 changing hands, compared with 573,305 shares, valued at GH¢823,455.58 in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated both volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 88.01% and 86.72% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 2 advancers and 1 decliner as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
EGH |
5.60 |
5.90 |
?5.36% |
BOPP |
19.01 |
19.93 |
?4.84% |
MTNGH |
1.38 |
1.37 |
?0.72% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.4636/$, compared with GH¢11.4215/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.37% and 25.19% respectively. This compares with a loss of 53.83% a year ago.
The Cedi also declined against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.9266/£, compared with GH¢13.8651/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.44% and 25.96% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 46.06% a year ago.
The Cedi lost against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.1428/€, compared with GH¢12.0898/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.44% and 24.68% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 47.20% a year ago.
The Cedi however gained against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.3357/C$ but closed at GH¢8.2724/C$, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciations of 0.76% and 23.57% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 50.37% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01/01/23 |
23/10/23 |
27/10/23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
11.4215 |
11.4636 |
?0.37 |
?25.19 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
13.8651 |
13.9266 |
?0.44 |
?25.96 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
12.0898 |
12.1428 |
?0.44 |
?24.68 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.3357 |
8.2724 |
? 0.76 |
?23.57 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢2,509.93 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,896.51 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 29.82% p.a. from 29.73% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 31.68% p.a. from 31.60% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 33.42% p.a. from 33.34% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01/01/23 |
23/10/23 |
27/10/23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
29.73 |
29.82 |
? 0.30 |
?15.68 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
31.60 |
31.68 |
? 0.24 |
?11.96 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
33.34 |
33.42 |
? 0.25 |
?6.89 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,509.93 |
2,896.51 |
?13.35% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
2,585.57 |
3,084.41 |
?16.17% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
2,238 |
2,282 |
?1.93% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
2,082.81 |
3,434.72 |
?39.36% |
Target coverage ratio |
1.16 |
1.35 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.24 |
0.90 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
0.97 |
0.94 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices slipped as traders raced from one headline to another on the Middle East conflict between warring parties Israel and Hamas. Brent futures traded at US$89.20 a barrel, compared to US$92.16 at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 3.21% and 3.83% respectively.
Gold prices fell as easing concerns over the Israel-Hamas war sapped safe haven demand. Gold settled at US$1,989.00, from US$1,994.40 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciations of 0.27% and 8.91% respectively.
The price of Cocoa increased for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,852.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,694.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 4.28% and 48.15% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01/01/23 |
23/10/23 |
27/10/23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
92.16 |
89.20 |
?3.21 |
?3.83 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,994.40 |
1,989.00 |
?0.27 |
?8.91 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,694.00 |
3,852.00 |
?4.28 |
?48.15 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF): An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a type of pooled investment security that operates much like a mutual fund. Typically, ETFs will track a particular index, sector, commodity, or other assets, but unlike mutual funds, ETFs can be purchased or sold on a stock exchange the same way that a regular stock can. An ETF can be structured to track anything from the price of an individual commodity to a large and diverse collection of securities. ETFs can even be structured to track specific investment strategies.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/etf.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestments.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.