MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4, 2022 Real GDP Growth |
3.7% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2022 |
3.7% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
2.8% |
BoG Policy Rate |
29.50% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
25.94% |
Inflation for April, 2023 |
41.2% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
18.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Nov, 2022 |
9.8% |
2022 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
6.6% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Nov, 2022 |
575.7 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Nov, 2022 |
93.5% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week on the back of price increases by 2 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 50.37 points (+1.89%) to close the week at 2,721.17 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 11.34%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) meanwhile lost 35.54 points (-2.02%) to close the week at 1,722.74 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 16.07%.
Market capitalization increased by 0.81% to close the week at GH¢68,090.91 million, from GH¢67,541.02 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 5.56%.
The week recorded a total of 14,457,749 shares valued at GH¢25,193,921.73 changing hands, compared with 7,941,302 shares, valued at GH¢10,227,007.98 in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated volume of trades for the week whiles GCB dominated value of trades for the week, accounting for 39.95% and 32.59% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 2 advancers and 3 decliners as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening P rice |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
MTNGH |
1.2 |
1.26 |
?5.00% |
GLD |
219.27 |
227.62 |
?3.81% |
SCB |
15.4 |
13.9 |
?9.74% |
FML |
1.06 |
1 |
?5.66% |
GCB |
3.2 |
3.19 |
?0.31% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢10.9618/$, compared with GH¢10.9518/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.009% and 21.76% respectively. This compares with YTD loss of 15.60% a year ago.
The Cedi strengthened against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢13.6574/£, compared with GH¢13.8305/£ at week open, reflecting w/w appreciation and YTD depreciation of 1.27% and 24.50% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 6.61% a year ago.
The Cedi also appreciated against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢11.9009/€, compared with GH¢12.0680/€ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 1.40% and 23.15% respectively. This compares with YTD loss of 7.73% a year ago.
The Cedi again appreciated against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.0765/C$ but closed at GH¢8.0918/C$, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.80% and 21.87% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 13.75% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
09-05-23 |
12-05-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
10.9518 |
10.9618 |
?0.09 |
?21.76 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
13.8305 |
13.6574 |
?1.27 |
?24.50 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
12.0680 |
11.9009 |
?1.40 |
?23.15 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.1569 |
8.0918 |
?0.80 |
?21.87 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢2,781.38 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,567.79 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 20.43% p.a. from 20.26% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 22.96% p.a. from 22.49% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 27.59% p.a. from 21.48% p.a. last week
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg. (%) |
YTD Chg. (%) |
|
01-01-23 |
08-05-23 |
12-05-23 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
20.26 |
20.43 |
?0.85 |
?42.23 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
22.49 |
22.96 |
?2.09 |
?36.18 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
21.48 |
27.59 |
?28.43 |
?23.13 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,781.38 |
2,567.79 |
?8.32% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
2,782.44 |
2,567.81 |
?8.36% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
3,333 |
1,834 |
?81.73% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
2,309.66 |
1,746.20 |
?32.27% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.83 |
1.40 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.20 |
1.47 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices settled lower last week, as the market balanced supply fears against renewed economic concerns in the United States and China. Brent futures traded at US$74.17 a barrel, compared to US$75.30 at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 1.50% and 13.67% respectively.
Gold prices fell slightly as a slew of Federal Reserve officials warned that interest rates could still rise further amid relatively high inflation and a robust labour market. Gold settled at US$2,019.80, from US$2,024.80 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD gain of 0.25% and 10.60% respectively.
The price of Cocoa recorded an increase for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,226.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,109.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 3.76% and 24.08% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg. % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-23 |
08-05-23 |
12-05-23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
75.30 |
74.17 |
?1.50 |
?13.67 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
2,024.80 |
2,019.80 |
?0.25 |
?10.60 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,109.00 |
3,226.00 |
?3.76 |
?24.08 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Total Expense Ratio: The total expense ratio (TER) is a measure of the total costs associated with managing and operating an investment fund, such as a mutual fund. These costs consist primarily of management fees and additional expenses, such as trading fees, legal fees, auditor fees, and other operational expenses.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/ter.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email:etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email:moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
Plot No. 169 Block 6
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 26171 7001/ 26 300 3917
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestmens.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.