MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q3, 2021 GDP Growth |
6.6% |
Average GDP Growth for 2021 |
5.3% |
2021 Projected GDP Growth |
5.0% |
BoG Policy Rate |
17.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
13.39% |
Inflation for February, 2022 |
15.7% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2021 |
8.0% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Dec, 2021 |
9.7% |
2022 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.4% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Dec, 2021 |
351.8 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Dec, 2021 |
80.1% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange retreated for the week on the back of declines by 2 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE CI) lost 6.11 points (-0.22%) to close at 2,738.63 points, reflecting year-to-date (YTD) loss of 1.82%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE FI) however, gained 24.62 points (+1.15%) to close at 2,167.29 points, reflecting year-to-date (YTD) gain of 0.72%.
Market capitalization advanced by 0.42% to close the week at GH¢63,985.35 million, from GH¢63,713.16 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects YTD decrease of 0.79%.
Trading activity recorded a total of 18,582,177 shares valued at GH¢24,300,166.61 changing hands, compared with 1,892,384 shares, valued at GH¢2,142,874 in the preceding week.
MTN dominated both volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 77.99% and 63.22% of volume and value of shares traded respectively .
The market ended the week with 3 advancers and 2 decliners as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
Ecobank Transnational Inc. |
0.15 |
0.17 |
?13.33% |
Guinness Ghana Breweries Ltd. |
2.12 |
2.25 |
?6.13% |
SIC Insurance Company Ltd. |
0.19 |
0.2 |
?5.26% |
GCB Bank PLC |
5.2 |
5.18 |
?0.38% |
Scancom PLC |
1.08 |
1.06 |
?1.85% |
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated against the USD for the nineth consecutive week. It traded at GH¢7.1125/$ on Friday, compared to GH¢7.0250/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.23% and 15.56% respectively. This compares with YTD appreciation of 0.57% a year ago.
The Cedi also depreciated against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢9.3533/£, compared with GH¢9.1814/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciation of 1.84% and 13.11% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 0.78% a year ago.
The Cedi again weakened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢7.8451/€, compared with GH¢7.6934/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.93% and 12.96% respectively. This compares with YTD appreciation of 3.74% a year ago.
The Cedi further weakened against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢5.5280/C$ but closed at GH¢5.6371/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.94% and 15.89% respectively. This compares with YTD depreciation of 1.00% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/22 |
14/03/22 |
18/03/22 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
6.0061 |
7.0250 |
7.1125 |
?1.23 |
?15.56 |
GBP/GHS |
8.1272 |
9.1814 |
9.3533 |
?1.84 |
?13.11 |
EUR/GHS |
6.8281 |
7.6934 |
7.8451 |
?1.93 |
?12.96 |
CAD/GHS |
4.7416 |
5.5280 |
5.6371 |
?1.94 |
?15.89 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢1,178.22 million for the week across the 91-Day and 182-Day Treasury bills, compared to GH¢2,341.25 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 13.42%, from 13.25% last week whiles the 182-Day Bill settled at 13.61%, from 13.55% last week.
The table and graph below highlight primary market yields at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01/01/22 |
14/03/22 |
18/03/22 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
12.53 |
13.25 |
13.42 |
?1.22 |
?7.10 |
182 Day TB |
13.21 |
13.55 |
13.61 |
?0.42 |
?3.01 |
364 Day TB |
16.64 |
16.96 |
16.96 |
0.00 |
?1.88 |
2-Yr FXR TN |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
3-Yr Bond |
20.50 |
20.50 |
20.50 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
5-Yr Bond |
21.00 |
20.75 |
20.75 |
0.00 |
?1.19 |
6-Yr Bond |
18.80 |
21.75 |
21.75 |
0.00 |
15.69 |
7-Yr Bond |
18.10 |
18.10 |
18.10 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
10-Yr Bond |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
15-Yr Bond |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
20-Yr Bond |
20.20 |
20.20 |
20.20 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Crude Oil prices logged a second weekly loss as the Russia-Ukraine war premium dipped from its highs of two weeks ago. Brent futures traded at US$107.93 a barrel on Friday, compared to US$112.67 at week open. This reflects w/w loss and YTD gain of 4.21% and 38.76% respectively.
Gold dipped on Friday and for the week, as the dollar strengthened. Gold settled at US$1,929.30 from US$ 1,985.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 2.81% and 5.51% respectively.
Prices of Cocoa dipped for the week. The commodity traded at US$2,537.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$2,580.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 1.67% and 0.67% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01/01/22 |
14/03/22 |
18/03/22 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
77.78 |
112.67 |
107.93 |
?4.21 |
?38.76 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,828.60 |
1,985.00 |
1,929.30 |
?2.81 |
?5.51 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,520.00 |
2,580.00 |
2,537.00 |
?1.67 |
?0.67 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Dirty Float: A dirty float is a floating exchange rate where a country's central bank occasionally intervenes to change the direction or the pace of change of a country's currency value. In most instances, the central bank in a dirty float system acts as a buffer against an external economic shock before its effects become disruptive to the domestic economy. A dirty float is also known as a "managed float."
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dirtyfloat.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
DisclaimerThe contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.