MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
2019 GDP |
6.0% |
Projected GDP for 2019 |
7.1% |
BoG Policy Rate – March 2020 |
14.5% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
14.1% |
Inflation for February, 2020 |
7.8% |
End Period Inflation Target - 2020 |
8.0% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Dec, 2019 |
4.8% |
2019 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
4.5% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Dec, 2019 |
218.0 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Dec, 2019 |
63.0% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The stock market closed weaker in the review week as the laggards outpaced the gainers. The GSE Composite Index (GSE CI) shed 17.43 points (-0.81%) to close at 2,143.09 points, compared to 2,160.52 points at the close of the previous week. This translates into a year-to-date (YTD) loss of 5.05%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index also shed 31.10 points to close the week at 1,894.50 points, increasing its YTD loss to 6.20%.
Market capitalization decreased by 0.32% for the week from GH¢55,995.00 million at the close of the previous week to GH¢55,814.24 million at the close of the week. This represents YTD decline of 1.72%.
Activity on the market was relatively higher than that of the preceding week. A total of 564,659 shares, valued at GH¢1,516,953.21 changed hands for the week, compared with 218,630 shares valued at GH¢288,234.18 recorded in the preceding week. GCB dominated both volume and value of shares traded for the week respectively. GCB accounted for 42.08% (237,600 shares) of total volume of shares traded and 70.79% (GH¢1,073,845.00) of total value of shares traded for the week.
The market closed on Friday with six laggards and three advancers for the week. Enterprise Group Ltd. Led the advancers. Its share price closed at GH¢1.70 from GH¢1.60. Trust Bank Gambia Ltd led the laggards. Its share price closed at GH¢0.34 from GH¢0.40 (-15.00%) at week open. Thirty 0ne (31) counters remained flat at the closing bell on Friday.
The graphs and table below highlight activity on the market during the week.
Best 5 &Worst 5 Performing Stocks |
|
Best Performing Stocks: |
YTD Return |
Inc. SIC Insurance Company Ltd. |
25.00% |
Camelot Ghana Ltd. |
22.22% |
Societe Generale Ghana Limited |
4.17% |
Republic Bank (Ghana) Ltd. |
3.57% |
Enterprise Group Ltd. |
3.03% |
|
|
Worst Performing Stocks: |
|
Intraveneous Infusion Ltd |
-40.00% |
Ecobank Ghana Ltd. |
-19.65% |
Unilever Ghana Ltd. |
-14.76% |
Access Bank Ghana PLC |
-12.00%- |
GCB Bank Ltd. |
-11.76% |
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi weakened against the USD for the fifth straight week. It traded at GH¢5.4610/$ on Friday, compared with GH¢5.4377/$ at week open, reflecting w/w depreciation and YTD appreciation of 0.43% and 1.33% respectively against the USD. This compares with YTD depreciation of 5.22% a year ago.
The Cedi meanwhile strengthened against the Euro on the week. It traded at GH¢5.8973/€, compared with GH¢5.9988/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 1.72% and 5.33% respectively against the Euro. This compares with YTD depreciation of 3.39% a year ago.
The Cedi likewise strengthened against the GBP on the week. It traded at GH¢6.6886/£, compared with GH¢6.7042/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.23% and 9.39% respectively against the GBP. This compares with YTD depreciation of 6.74% a year ago.
The Cedi weakened against the CAD for the week. It opened at GH¢3.8612/C$ but closed at GH¢3.8683/C$, reflecting w/w depreciationand YTD appreciation of 0.18% and 10.34% respectively against the CAD. This compares with YTD depreciation of 6.98% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/20 |
30/03/20 |
03/04/20 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
5.5337 |
5.4377 |
5.4610 |
-0.43 |
1.33 |
GBP/GHS |
7.3164 |
6.7042 |
6.6886 |
0.23 |
9.39 |
EUR/GHS |
6.2114 |
5.9988 |
5.8973 |
1.72 |
5.33 |
CAD/GHS |
4.2681 |
3.8612 |
3.8683 |
-0.18 |
10.34 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a total of GH¢521.22 million in the week under review across the 91-Day and 182-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢743.38 million raised in the previous week.
The 91–Day and 182-Day Bills shed 20bps each to settle at 14.44% and 14.95% respectively.
Please see below for more details.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01/01/20 |
27/03/20 |
03/04/20 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
14.70 |
14.64 |
14.44 |
-1.36 |
-1.75 |
182 Dy TB |
15.15 |
15.15 |
14.95 |
-1.33 |
-1.30 |
364 Day TB |
17.90 |
17.65 |
17.65 |
0.00 |
-1.41 |
2-Yr FXR TN |
20.95 |
20.20 |
20.20 |
0.00 |
-3.58 |
3-Yr Bond |
19.7 |
20.75 |
20.75 |
0.00 |
5.33 |
5-Yr Bond |
19.50 |
21.70 |
21.70 |
0.00 |
11.28 |
6-Yr Bond |
21.00 |
21.00 |
21.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
7-Yr Bond |
16.25 |
16.25 |
16.25 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
10-Yr Bond |
19.8 |
19.8 |
19.8 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
15-Yr Bond |
19.75 |
19.75 |
19.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
20-Yr Bond |
20.2 |
20.2 |
20.2 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Gold futures notched a second straight weekly gain supported by a weak U.S. Jobs report released on Friday. Gold futures settled at US$1,648.75 per ounce on Friday, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 1.46% and 8.40% respectively.
Oil prices recovered for week on hopes of production cuts among OPEC members. Brent futures traded at US$34.83 a barrel on Friday, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 39.71% and 47.23% respectively.
Prices of Cocoa strengthened for the second straight week. Cocoa futures settled at US$2,264.00 per tonne on Friday, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 0.31% and 10.87% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01/01/20 |
30/03/20 |
03/04/20 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
66.00 |
24.93 |
34.83 |
39.71 |
-47.23 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,520.95 |
1,625.00 |
1,648.75 |
1.46 |
8.40 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,540.00 |
2,257.00 |
2,264.00 |
0.31 |
-10.87 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Gig Economy: A gig economy is one where temporal, flexible jobs are commonplace and companies tend toward hiring independent contractors and freelancers instead of full-time employees. A gig economy undermines the traditional economy of full-time workers who rarely change positions and instead focus on a lifetime career.
Sourcewww.investopedia.com
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer
The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.