MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q4, 2023 Real GDP Growth 3.8%
Average Real GDP Growth for 2023 2.9%
2024 Projected Real GDP Growth 2.8%
BoG Policy Rate 29.0%
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate 28.74%
Inflation for April, 2024 25.0%
End Period Inflation Target – 2024 15.0%
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Dec, 2023 4.6%
2024 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) 3.0%
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Feb, 2024 658.6
Debt to GDP Ratio – Feb, 2024 62.7%
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week on the back of price increases by 3 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 18.41 points (+0.49%) for the week to close at 3,772.10 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 20.51%.
The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) also gained 32.07 points (+1.56%) for the week closing at 2,084.77 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 9.63%.
Market capitalization increased by 0.22% to close the week at GH¢84,201.62 million, from GH¢84,016.55 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 13.70%.
The week recorded a total of 1,209,567 shares valued at GH¢5,819,660.97, compared with 2,584,743 shares, valued at GH¢6,649,476.47 traded in the preceding week.
MTNGH dominated the volume of trades for the week while NewGold Exchange Traded Fund dominated the value of trades for the week, accounting for 53.81% and 41.69% of the volume and value of shares traded respectively. The market ended the week with 3 advancers and 1 laggard as indicated in the table below.
Price Movers for the Week
Equity Opening Price Closing Price Gain/Loss (%)
GCB 4.56 5.25 ?15.13%
SIC 0.24 0.25 ?4.17%
BOPP 21.56 22.00 ?2.04%
GLD 353.60 343.86 ?2.75%
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi continued its depreciation run against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢14.1301/$, compared with GH¢13.9550/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 1.24% and 15.92% respectively. This compares with a loss of 21.87% a year ago.
The Cedi also extended its losing streak against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢18.0071/£, compared with GH¢17.9996/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 0.04% and 15.96% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 25.30% a year ago.
The Cedi inched up against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢15.2940/€, compared with GH¢15.3345/€ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.27% and 14.17% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 22.49% a year ago.
The Cedi also gained grounds against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢10.3559/C$ but closed at GH¢10.2892/C$, reflecting w/w gain and YTD loss of 0.65% and 12.42% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 23.14% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates
Currency Pair Year Open Week Open Week Close Change% YTD %
01/01/24 03/06/24 07/06/24
USD/GHS 11.8800 14.1301 14.1515 ?0.15 ?16.05
GBP/GHS 15.1334 17.9996 18.0071 ?0.04 ?15.96
EUR/GHS 13.1264 15.3345 15.2940 ?0.27 ?14.17
CAD/GHS 9.0112 10.3559 10.2892 ?0.65 ?12.42
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢5,256.69 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢3,520.24 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 25.04% p.a. from 25.04% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 26.94% p.a. from 26.92% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 27.93% p.a. from 27.91% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security Year Open Previous Yield % Current Yield % WoW Chg (%) YTD Chg (%)
01/01/24 03/06/24 07/06/24
91 Day TB 29.24 25.04 25.04 ?0.0004 ?14.37
182 Day TB 31.88 26.92 26.94 ?0.08 ?15.50
364 Day TB 32.49 27.91 27.93 ?0.07 ?14.02
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary
Current Previous Change
Bid (GH¢' M) 5,256.69 3,520.24 ?49.33%
Issuance (GH¢' M) 5,256.69 3,525.56 ?49.10%
Target (GH¢' M) 4,400 2,718 ?61.88%
Maturity (GH¢' M) 4,140.78 4,962.65 ?16.56%
Target coverage ratio 1.19 1.30 na
Maturity coverage ratio 1.27 0.71 na
Bid / Cover ratio 1.00 1.00 na
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices fell, as OPEC+ signalled it will begin tapering off its production cuts this year just as demand worries intensified following weak data from major oil consumer China. Brent futures traded at US$79.62 a barrel, compared to US$81.62 at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD gain of 2.45% and 3.35% respectively.
Gold prices fell slightly, but were sitting on some gains from the prior session as signs of a cooling U.S. economy ramped up expectations of rate cuts. Gold settled at US$2,325.00, from US$2,345.80 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 0.89% and 12.22% respectively.
The price of Cocoa closed higher again for the week. Cocoa traded at US$9,933.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$9,331.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 6.45% and 136.73% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities Year Open Week Open Week Close Chg% YTD %
01/01/24 03/06/24 07/06/24
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) 77.04 81.62 79.62 ?2.45 ?3.35
Gold (USD/t oz.) 2,071.80 2,345.80 2,325.00 ?0.89 ?12.22
Cocoa (USD/MT) 4,196.00 9,331.00 9,933.00 ?6.45 ?136.73
Source: www.investing.com.
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Front-End Load: It is a commission or sales charge applied at the time of the initial purchase of an investment. The term most often applies to mutual fund investments, but may also apply to insurance policies or annuities. The front-end load is deducted from the initial deposit, or purchase funds and, as a result, lowers the amount of money actually going into the investment product
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/front-endload.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its