MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2023 Real GDP Growth |
4.2% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2023 |
4.2% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
2.8% |
BoG Policy Rate |
30.00% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
26.27% |
Inflation for June, 2023 |
42.5% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
18.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – May, 2023 |
1.8% |
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.7% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Apr, 2023 |
569.3 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Apr, 2023 |
71.1% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed higher for the week on the back of price increases by 2 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 8.45 points (+0.30%) to close the week at 2,870.72 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 17.46%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) gained 15.94 points (+0.94%) to close the week at 1,703.43 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 17.01%.
Market capitalization increased by 0.14% to close the week at GH¢70,929.41 million, from GH¢70,828.47 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 9.96%.
The week recorded a total of 431,556 shares valued at GH¢348,516.13 changing hands, compared with 24,420,319 shares, valued at GH¢1,453,951.29 in the preceding week.
SIC dominated the volume of trades for the week while ABG dominated the value of trades for the week, accounting for 63.79% and 32.99% of volume and value of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 2 advancers and 2 decliners as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
SCB |
12.91 |
13.50 |
?4.57% |
GCB |
3.20 |
3.30 |
?3.12% |
SIC |
0.21 |
0.20 |
?4.76% |
ABG |
3.35 |
3.28 |
?2.09% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.0032/$, compared with GH¢11.0028/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.004% and 22.06% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 19.65% a year ago.
The Cedi however inched up against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢14.1353/£, compared with GH¢14.4341/£ at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 2.11% and 27.05% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 9.61% a year ago.
The Cedi also strengthened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.2315/€, compared with GH¢12.3659/€ at week open, reflecting w/w appreciation and YTD depreciation of 1.10% and 25.23% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 10.64% a year ago.
The Cedi again strengthened against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.3480/C$ but closed at GH¢8.3193/C$, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 0.34% and 24.01% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 18.42% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
17-07-23 |
21-07-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
11.0028 |
11.0032 |
?0.004 |
?22.06 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
14.4341 |
14.1353 |
? 2.11 |
?27.05 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
12.3659 |
12.2315 |
? 1.10 |
?25.23 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.3480 |
8.3193 |
?0.34 |
?24.01 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢2,699.05 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢2,126.22 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 24.92% p.a. from 24.69% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 26.81% p.a. from 26.41% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 30.05% p.a. from 29.65% p.a. previously.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
01-01-23 |
17-07-23 |
21-07-23 |
|||
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
24.69 |
24.92 |
?0.95 |
?29.53 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
26.41 |
26.81 |
?1.51 |
?25.50 |
364 Day TB |
35.89 |
29.65 |
30.05 |
?1.34 |
?16.30 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
Current |
Previous |
Change |
|
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,699.05 |
2,126.22 |
?26.94% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
2,699.38 |
2,126.22 |
?26.96% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
2,654 |
1,778 |
?49.27% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
2,499.56 |
1,675.15 |
?49.21% |
Target coverage ratio |
1.02 |
1.20 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.08 |
1.27 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
1.00 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices were steady last week, hovering near three-month highs on the back of signs of tighter supplies and pledges by Chinese authorities to shore up the world's second-biggest economy. Brent futures traded at US$81.07 a barrel, compared to US$79.87 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 1.50% and 5.63% respectively.
Gold prices rose marginally last week, closing on a positive note, amid increasing bets that the Federal Reserve was close to ending its rate hike cycle. Gold settled at US$1,966.60, from US$1,964.40 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 0.11% and 7.69% respectively.
The price of Cocoa increased for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,415.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,307.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 3.27% and 31.55% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-23 |
17-07-23 |
21-07-23 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
79.87 |
81.07 |
?1.50 |
?5.63 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,964.40 |
1,966.60 |
?0.11 |
?7.69 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,307.00 |
3,415.00 |
?3.27 |
?31.35 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Odious Debt: Odious debt, also known as illegitimate debt, is when a country's government changes and the successor government does not want to pay debts incurred by the previous government. Usually, successor governments argue that the previous government misappropriated money it had borrowed and that they should not be held responsible for the previous regime’s alleged misdeeds.
Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/odious-debt.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestments.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.