MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2023 Real GDP Growth |
4.2% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2023 |
4.2% |
2023 Projected Real GDP Growth |
2.8% |
BoG Policy Rate |
29.50% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
26.25% |
Inflation for June, 2023 |
42.5% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2023 |
18.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Mar, 2023 |
0.8% |
2023 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
7.7% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Dec, 2022 |
434.6 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Dec, 2022 |
71.2% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange closed lower for the week on the back of price decreases by 3 counters. The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) lost 104.05 points (-3.51%) to close the week at 2,862.27 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 17.12%. The GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE-FI) lost 0.84 points (-0.05%) to close the week at 1,687.49 points, reflecting a YTD loss of 17.79%.
Market capitalization decreased by 1.57% to close the week at GH¢70,828.47 million, from GH¢71,959.69 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 9.80%.
The week recorded a total of 24,420,319 shares valued at GH¢1,453,951.29 changing hands, compared with 5,346,896 shares, valued at GH¢7,722,438.61 in the preceding week.
HORDS dominated both volume and value of trades for the week, accounting for 97.25% and 49.00% of shares traded respectively.
The market ended the week with 2 advancers and 3 decliners as indicated on the table below.
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
SOGEGH |
0.61 |
0.67 |
?9.84% |
TOTAL |
6.12 |
6.70 |
?9.48% |
SIC |
0.23 |
0.21 |
?8.70% |
ABG |
3.60 |
3.35 |
?6.94% |
MTNGH |
1.45 |
1.36 |
?6.21% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi depreciated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢11.0028/$, compared with GH¢11.0009/$ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.02% and 22.06% respectively. This compares with a loss of 18.67% a year ago.
The Cedi also retreated against the GBP for the week. It traded at GH¢14.4341/£, compared with GH¢14.1191/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 2.18% and 28.56% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 7.20% a year ago.
The Cedi again weakened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.3659/€, compared with GH¢12.0506/€ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 2.55% and 26.04% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 8.35% a year ago.
The Cedi further weakened against the Canadian Dollar at week end. It opened at GH¢8.2776/C$ but closed at GH¢8.3480/C$, reflecting w/w and YTD depreciations of 0.84% and 24.27% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 16.33% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change % |
YTD % |
|
01-01-22 |
10-07-23 |
14-07-23 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
8.5760 |
11.0009 |
11.0028 |
?0.02 |
?22.06 |
GBP/GHS |
10.3118 |
14.1191 |
14.4341 |
?2.18 |
?28.56 |
EUR/GHS |
9.1457 |
12.0506 |
12.3659 |
?2.55 |
?26.04 |
CAD/GHS |
6.3222 |
8.2776 |
8.3480 |
?0.84 |
?24.27 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
Government raised a sum of GH¢2,126.22 million for the week across the 91-Day and 182-Day Treasury Bills. This compared with GH¢1,979.94 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 24.69% p.a. from 24.39% p.a. last week whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 26.41% p.a. from 26.03% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
01-01-23 |
10-07-23 |
14-07-23 |
|||
91 Day TB |
35.36 |
24.39 |
24.69 |
?1.21 |
?30.19 |
182 Day TB |
35.98 |
26.03 |
26.41 |
?1.46 |
?26.60 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
Current |
Previous |
Change |
|
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,126.22 |
1,979.94 |
?7.39% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
2,126.22 |
2,068.51 |
?2.79% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
1,778 |
1,575 |
?12.89% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
1,675.15 |
1,670.12 |
?0.30% |
Target coverage ratio |
1.20 |
1.31 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.27 |
1.24 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
0.96 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices rose over 1% on the back of U.S. inflation data that suggested interest rates in the world's biggest economy were close to their peak. Brent futures traded at US$79.87 a barrel, compared to US$78.47 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 1.78% and 7.03% respectively.
Gold prices climbed higher signalled by the Fed taking a less aggressive stance with tightening monetary policy to curb price growth, even if the central bank stayed on course with its rate hikes. Gold settled at US$1,964.40, from US$1,932.50 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 1.65% and 7.57% respectively.
The price of Cocoa increased for the week. Cocoa traded at US$3,307.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$3,274.00 last week, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 1.01% and 27.19% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg % |
YTD % |
01-01-23 |
10-07-23 |
14-07-23 |
|||
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
85.91 |
78.47 |
79.87 |
?1.78 |
?7.03 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
1,826.20 |
1,932.50 |
1,964.40 |
?1.65 |
?7.57 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
2,600.00 |
3,274.00 |
3,307.00 |
?1.01 |
?27.19 |
Source: www.investing.com
BUSINESS TERM OF THE WEEK
Special Drawing Rights (SDR): The SDR is an international reserve asset created by the IMF to supplement the official reserves of its member countries.
The SDR is not a currency. It is a potential claim on the freely usable currencies of IMF members. As such, SDRs can provide a country with liquidity.
A basket of currencies defines the SDR: the US dollar, Euro, Chinese Yuan, Japanese Yen, and the British Pound.
Source: https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/special-drawing-right
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 881 8957
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax : +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email : info@cidaninvestments.com
Website : www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided on and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.